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World: a tale of two centuries
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Estimates of mortality from tobacco are mind boggling even at the local
level
telling a politician that a hundred of his or her potential
voters will go to an early grave this year just because they smoked can
be a very effective way of making them take the issue seriously. But at
national level, even modest estimates are so large it is not surprising
that politicians and the public find it difficult to comprehend the
true scale of avoidable disease and early deaths caused by tobacco use.
Move on to the global scale and the World Health Organization estimates
by Peto and Lopez (two to three million per annum now, reaching 10 million sometime in the 2020s) are so vast as to be like the
causebreathtaking.
Now Professor Sir Richard Peto of Oxford University, UK, has gone
still higher. Reviewing global mortality in the past century, which saw
the establishment
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