Development of the health and economic consequences of smoking interactive model
- aThe Lewin Group, Bracknell, Berkshire, UK, bGlobal Health Outcomes, Glaxo Wellcome, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA, cCentre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK
- Michelle Orme, The Lewin Group, Action International House, Crabtree Office Village, Eversley Way, Egham, Surrey TW208RY UKMichelle.Orme{at}Quintiles.com
- Received 24 March 2000
- Revised 20 June 2000
- Accepted 1 August 2000
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe the health and economic consequences of smoking model, a user friendly, web based tool, designed to estimate the health and economic outcomes associated with smoking and the benefits of smoking cessation.
RESULTS An overview of the development of the model equations and user interface is given, and data from the UK are presented as an example of the model outputs. These results show that a typical smoking cessation strategy costs approximately £1200 per life year saved and £22 000 per death averted.
CONCLUSIONS The model successfully captures the complexity required to model smoking behaviour and associated mortality, morbidity, and health care costs. Furthermore, the interface provides the results in a simple and flexible way so as to be useful to a variety of audiences and to simulate a variety of smoking cessation methods.
Footnotes
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website extra: Supplemental data and schematic representations appear on the Tobacco Control website www.tobaccocontrol.com
