Table 5

Deaths attributable to smoking predicted by SimSmoke under different policy scenarios

YearBAUBI Alone% changeBI and RxPT% changeBI and OTC PT% changeBI and behav% changeBI and comp% changeBI and flex% change
Per cent change is measured relative to business as usual (that is, the absence of the intervention) for the same year.
BAU, business as usual; BI, brief intervention; Rx PT, prescription pharmacotherapy; OTC PT, over-the-counter pharmacotherapy, behav, behavioral therapy; comp, comprehensive with pharmacotherapy and behavioural required; flex, flexible with all treatments covered.
2000418317418317−0.0418317−0.0418317−0.0418317−0.0418317−0.0418317−0.0
2005429912429806−0.0429723−0.0429608−0.1429742−0.0429661−0.1429548−0.1
2010443672442484−0.3441564−0.5440310−0.8441778−0.4440888−0.6439659−0.9
2015456150453442−0.6451359−1.1448543−1.7451843−0.9449837−1.4447090−2.0
2020468909464511−0.9461148−1.7456631−2.6461929−1.5458703−2.2454311−3.1
2025482833476765−1.3472152−2.2465986−3.5473220−2.0468809−2.9462836−4.1
2030486476479058−1.5473443−2.7465977−4.2474742−2.4469391−3.5462176−5.0
2035474942466680−1.7460452−3.1452202−4.8461890−2.7455969−4.0448018−5.7
2040449120440591−1.9434181−3.3425718−5.2435659−3.0429578−4.4421437−6.2