Smoking rate (%) | Smoking attributable deaths | % Change in smoking rate4-150 | Lives saved4-151 | % Change in smoking rate | Lives saved | Smoking rate (%) | Smoking attributable deaths | % Change in smoking rate4-150 | Lives saved4-151 | % Change in smoking rate | Lives saved | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Programme | Status quo | Status quo | Moderate policy4-153 | Moderate policy | Intensive policy4-154 | Intensive Policy | Status quo | Status quo | Moderate policy | Moderate policy | Intensive policy | Intensive policy |
Effects in | Ages 10–174-152 | Ages 10–17 | Ages 10–17 | Ages 10–17 | Ages 10–17 | Ages 10–17 | All ages | All ages | All ages | All ages | All ages | All ages |
Baseline4-160 | 4.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 18.4 | 418317 | – | – | – | – |
1st year | 6.6 | 0 | −13.5 | 0 | −27.1 | 0 | 18.3 | 420362 | −0.4 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
2nd year | 9.7 | 0 | −13.0 | 0 | −23.7 | 0 | 18.2 | 422964 | −0.5 | 0 | −0.6 | 0 |
3rd year | 13.0 | 0 | −10.4 | 0 | −20.8 | 0 | 18.1 | 425947 | −0.6 | 0 | −1.1 | 0 |
5th year | 16.4 | 0 | −8.5 | 0 | −17.1 | 0 | 17.9 | 429912 | −0.8 | 0 | −1.6 | 0 |
10th year | 28.3 | 0 | −5.8 | 0 | −11.7 | 0 | 17.4 | 443672 | −1.4 | 0 | −2.9 | 0 |
20th year | 26.8 | 2111 | −5.3 | 122 | −10.8 | 242 | 16.5 | 468909 | −2.4 | 204 | −5.2 | 404 |
30th year | 23.8 | 17629 | −5.3 | 1017 | −10.8 | 2042 | 15.6 | 486476 | −3.4 | 1478 | −7.5 | 2974 |
40th year | 19.7 | 34209 | −5.3 | 1979 | −10.8 | 3972 | 15.3 | 449120 | −4.3 | 3904 | −9.4 | 7881 |
↵4-150 Percentage change is measured relative to business as usual (that is, the absence of the policy) for the same year.
↵4-151 Lives saved are per year. Lives saved is measured as the baseline number of death minus the number of deaths under the new policy.
↵4-152 Tracks the cohort through time.
↵4-153 Moderate policy = 86% retail compliance.
↵4-154 Intensive policy = 98% retail compliance.
↵4-160 Year 2000.