Table 1

 Overall and lung cancer deaths rates in 1991 and 2003

Death rate (per 100000)Percentage changeAbsolute change
19912003
Observed death rates (per 100000) standardised to US standard population. Data from Ries et al.1
Predicted lung cancer death rates represent straight line projections to 2003 from the periods 1950–1975 in men and 1975–1990 in women. Predicted all cancer death rates represent the observed all cancer rate plus the difference between the predicted and observed lung cancer death rates.
Observed data*
    All cancers
        Men279.1234.1−16.1%−45.0
        Women173.3160.5−8.5%−14.8
        Both215.1190.1−11.6%−25.0
    Lung cancer
        Men89.971.9−20.0%−18.0
        Women37.641.2+9.6%+3.6
        Both59.054.2−8.1%−4.8
Predicted data†
    All cancers
        Men300.5299.2−0.4%−1.3
        Women174.6172.9−1.0%−1.7
    Lung cancer
        Men111.3137.0+23.1%+25.7
        Women38.353.6+39.6%+15.3