Estimated economic impact of the California Tobacco Control Program (CTCP) over a 90-year evaluation period from 1990 through 2079
| Outcome measures | Predicted value | SE |
| A. Years of life saved (person-years) | 712966* | 60590 |
| B. Years of treatment saved (person-years): | ||
| High relative risk smoking-related diseases | 141426* | 5903 |
| Low relative risk smoking-related diseases | 16240 | 13617 |
| C. Healthcare expenditures saved (in billions): | ||
| Algorithm 1: ‘gross’ healthcare savings without accounting for the impact of prolonged years of life due to the CTCP | $1.438* | $0.227 |
| Algorithm 2: ‘net’ healthcare savings after adjusting for additional healthcare expenditures associated with prolonged years of life due to the CTCP | −$0.144 | $0.217 |
| D. Total economic value of ‘net’ healthcare savings and years of life saved, assuming a year of life is valued at $100 000 with adjustments for disease treatment and health status (in billions): | ||
| Algorithm 3: present value of life years discounted at 3% | $22.443* | $1.118 |
| Algorithm 4: present value of life years discounted at 2% for current smokers, 1.5% for former smokers and 1% for never smokers | $107.418* | $1.629 |
All monetary values are in 1990 dollars.
↵* Statistically significant at p value <0.05, two-tailed test.