Mean real per stick price ($March 2014) of current FM and RYO cigarettes by phase: means and results of linear regression models
| Sample | Time period | Differences between PP phases—unadjusted models | Differences between PP phases—adjusted models | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean cigarette price in cents (SE) | B-weight | 95% CI | Mean cigarette price in cents (SE) | B-weight | 95% CI | ||
| All RYO cigarettes (per 0.8 g) (n=1517) | Pre-PP | 57.2 (0.32) | Ref | 57.2 (0.32) | Ref | ||
| Transition | 56.6 (0.58) | −0.61 | −1.91 to 0.70 | 56.7 (0.57) | −0.50 | −1.78 to 0.78 | |
| PP year 1 | 59.1 (0.27) | 1.82*** | 0.99 to 2.64 | 59.1 (0.27) | 1.91*** | 1.09 to 2.74 | |
| PP post-tax | 65.2 (0.59) | 7.99*** | 6.67 to 9.31 | 65.1 (0.58) | 7.92*** | 6.62 to 9.23 | |
| All FM cigarettes (n=5559) | Pre-PP | 65.2 (0.27) | Ref | 65.1 (0.25) | Ref | ||
| Transition | 65.9 (0.45) | 0.70 | −0.32 to 1.72 | 65.9 (0.44) | 0.82 | −0.16 to 1.80 | |
| PP year 1 | 66.8 (0.21) | 1.59*** | 0.92 to 2.25 | 66.9 (0.21) | 1.80*** | 1.18 to 2.42 | |
| PP post-tax | 72.6 (0.47) | 7.41*** | 6.34 to 8.47 | 72.6 (0.45) | 7.46*** | 6.46 to 8.45 | |
| By FM market segment | |||||||
| Value FM cigarettes (n=1731) | Pre-PP | 55.9 (0.30) | Ref | 56.0 (0.30) | Ref | ||
| Transition | 56.6 (0.55) | 0.66 | −0.56 to 1.89 | 56.5 (0.55) | 0.59 | −0.63 to 1.82 | |
| PP year 1 | 57.3 (0.22) | 1.43*** | 0.69 to 2.17 | 57.3 (0.22) | 1.38*** | 0.65 to 2.11 | |
| PP post-tax | 62.2 (0.45) | 6.32*** | 5.27 to 7.38 | 62.2 (0.45) | 6.23*** | 5.17 to 7.29 | |
| Mainstream FM cigarettes (n=2700) | Pre-PP | 66.9 (0.31) | Ref | 66.9 (0.30) | Ref | ||
| Transition | 67.5 (0.47) | 0.60 | −0.50 to 1.70 | 67.4 (0.47) | 0.50 | −0.58 to 1.58 | |
| PP year 1 | 69.4 (0.23) | 2.52*** | 1.77 to 3.28 | 69.4 (0.23) | 2.58*** | 1.85 to 3.30 | |
| PP post-tax | 75.7 (0.59) | 8.79*** | 7.48 to 10.10 | 75.7 (0.57) | 8.87*** | 7.63 to 10.11 | |
| Premium FM cigarettes (n=1126) | Pre-PP | 73.1 (0.40) | Ref | 72.9 (0.38) | Ref | ||
| Transition | 74.1 (0.78) | 1.07 | −0.65 to 2.80 | 74.2 (0.76) | 1.35 | −0.31 to 3.02 | |
| PP year 1 | 76.4 (0.35) | 3.37*** | 2.33 to 4.40 | 76.5 (0.35) | 3.64*** | 2.62 to 4.67 | |
| PP post-tax | 84.3 (0.66) | 11.18*** | 9.67 to 12.69 | 84.4 (0.62) | 11.57*** | 10.14 to 12.99 | |
Of n=8679 cigarette smokers, we excluded those who: did not provide their current brand name (n=283); currently smoked unbranded tobacco or gave a brand of cigars/cigarillos or e-cigarettes (n=60); did not recall where they purchased their pack or received it as a gift (n=75); did not provide a valid pack size (n=231); did not report a price (n=413); purchased tobacco duty free or overseas (n=70); skipped relevant questions due to back-coding of verbatim responses (n=77); gave responses that were deemed unlikely to be correct (such as a non-existent pack size or unrealistically low or high price) (n=243); or did not have socioeconomic status information (n=151). Analysed n=7076.
***p<0.001.
FM, factory made; PP, plain packaging; RYO, roll-your-own.