TY - JOUR T1 - The impact of cigarette prices on smoking onset and cessation: evidence from Vietnam JF - Tobacco Control JO - Tob Control DO - 10.1136/tc-2022-057689 SP - tc-2022-057689 AU - Cuong Viet Nguyen AU - Nicole Vellios AU - Nguyen Hanh Nguyen AU - Thu Thi Le Y1 - 2023/01/24 UR - http://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/early/2023/01/24/tc-2022-057689.abstract N2 - Background Vietnam is a country with very high smoking rates among men. According to a Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS) conducted in 2015, the daily smoking prevalence among Vietnamese men was 39%.Methods We used data from the 2010 and 2015 Vietnamese GATSs and cigarette price data from General Statistics Office of Vietnam. Since smoking prevalence is low among women, we only considered men. Using discrete-time hazard models, we estimated the effect of cigarette prices on smoking onset and cessation. Sensitivity analyses are conducted using different model specifications.Results We find that higher cigarette prices reduce the probability of smoking onset. A 1% increase in the cigarette price reduces the hazard of smoking onset by 1.2% (95% CI −2.12% to −0.28%). This suggests that increases in tobacco taxation, which translate to price increases, can reduce smoking onset. We did not find evidence that cigarette prices impact smoking cessation among men in Vietnam.Conclusion Vietnam should continue to increase excise taxes on tobacco products to reduce smoking onset. Since smokers are resilient to excise tax increases, other tobacco control policies, such as smoke-free areas and tobacco advertisement bans, should be better enforced to encourage people to quit. Other policies not yet implemented, such as plain packaging of tobacco products, may also encourage smokers to quit.Data are available upon reasonable request. ER -