Comprehensive education/control | ↓ | ↓ | ↓ | ↑ | ↓ | ↓ | Reduce tobacco profits | Need product information |
Behavioural guidance added to comprehensive education/control | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | Need product information |
Increase cost of tobacco | ↓ | ↓ | ↓ | ↑ | ↓ | ↓ | Reduce tobacco profits | ? |
Decrease tobacco access | ↓ | ↓ | | ↑ | ↓ | ↓ | Reduce tobacco profits | Need regulatory control |
Reduce toxicity of all products—no promotion allowed | ↓ | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | Increased product manufacturing cost | Regulatory oversight needed |
Reduced toxicity of conventional products, allow promotion | ? – promo could increase use | ↑, e.g. snuff in 1970s on | ↑, e.g. snuff in 1970s on | ↓, e.g. light cigs | ↓ | ↑, e.g. gateway snuff effect | Attractive to tobacco industry | Regulatory oversight needed |
Eliminate nicotine in cigarettes | Near term ↑ Long term ↑ | ? | ? | ↑ | ↓ | ↓ | Not attractive to cigarette companies | Regulatory oversight needed |
Novel smoked products | ? | ↑ | ↑ | ↓, e.g. light cigs | ↑ consumer survey | ↑, e.g. snuff | Attractive to some companies | Regulatory oversight needed |
Novel non-smoked products | ? | ↑ | ↑ | ↓, e.g. light cigs | ↑ consumer survey | ↑, e.g. snuff | Attractive to some companies | Regulatory oversight needed |
Nicotine medications | ↓ | Regulate to reduce risk | No predicted effect | No predicted effect | No predicted effect | Possible if nicotine dependency established | Youth: no (Adults possible) | Regulatory flexibility needed |
Non-nicotine medications | ↓ | Regulate to reduce risk | No predicted effect | No predicted effect | No predicted effect | No predicted effect | Youth: no (Adults possible) | Regulatory flexibility needed |