Table 1

Summary statistics on seasonality of cigarette sales

Months with extreme seasonal effects (month name and number of times the month is a high-2 or low-2 seasonal factor)
StateSpectral analysis (p value for Bartlett’s test)Stable seasonality 
 test (p value)Seasonal factor rangeMost frequent high month2nd most frequent high monthMost frequent low month2nd most frequent low month
*All 34 (17×2) possible occurrences of “high-2” or “low-2” months are represented by the two tied “most frequent” months.
†Georgia has an abnormally large June (fiscal year) effect.
Alabama0.0133<0.000123.97Oct (13)Jun (10)Feb (17)Jan (5)
Alaska<0.0001<0.000156.45Jul (11)Aug (9)Feb (13)Nov (9)
Arizona0.0016<0.000122.69Jan (10)Oct (7)Feb/Mar (17)*
Arkansas0.0175<0.000127.73Jun (17)May (7)Feb (17)Jan (8)
California<0.0001<0.000121.67Jun (14)May (7)Jan/Feb (17)*
Colorado<0.0001<0.000128.50Sep (12)Jul/Aug (8)Feb (17)Mar (13)
Connecticut<0.0001<0.000124.17Jun (11)Aug (7Feb (17)Jan (14)
Delaware<0.0001<0.000161.65Jun (11)Aug (8)Feb (16)Jul (9)
DC<0.0001<0.000150.25Jun (10)Oct (9)Jan/Feb (10)Nov (7)
Florida<0.0001<0.000113.90Apr (11)Mar/May/Nov (6)Feb (17)Sep (11)
Georgia<0.0001<0.0001178.69†Jun (17)Jan/Oct/Dec (5)Jul (17)Aug (12)
Hawaii<0.00010.011136.99Oct (12)Jun (8)Jul (13)Feb/Nov (6)
Idaho0.0002<0.000136.28Jun (14)Aug (12)Feb (17)Jan (10)
Illinois<0.0001<0.000126.16Jun/Aug (15)May/Nov (2)Jan/Feb (17)*
Indiana<0.0001<0.000127.35Jun (17)Aug (8)Feb (17)Jan (14)
Iowa<0.0001<0.000132.61Jun (17)Aug/Dec (5)Feb (17)Jan (15)
Kansas<0.0001<0.000124.35Jul (14)Aug (9)Feb (17)Jan (7)
Kentucky0.2371<0.000141.76Jun (17)May/Dec (7)Feb (17)Jan (10)
Louisiana<0.0001<0.000130.75Jun (17)May (7)Feb (17)Jan (7)
Maine<0.0001<0.000130.63Aug (17)Jun (9)Feb (15)Jan (12)
Maryland<0.0001<0.000128.16Aug (8)Jun (7)Jan/Feb (17)*
Massachusetts<0.0001<0.000130.49Jun (17)Aug (8)Feb (17)Jan (14)
Michigan<0.0001<0.000119.85Aug (12)Jul (8)Mar (17)Feb (13)
Minnesota<0.0001<0.000135.46Jun (13)May (6)Feb (16)Jan (8)
Mississippi0.0913<0.000123.02Jun (17)May (7)Feb (17)Jan (8)
Missouri<0.0001<0.000120.18Jul (15)Aug (12)Feb (17)Mar (14)
Montana0.0067<0.000138.40Aug (17)Jun (9)Feb (17)Apr (6)
Nebraska<0.0001<0.000129.32Jun (14)Aug (9)Feb (17)Jan (14)
Nevada<0.0001<0.000120.12Jun (11)Jul (8)Feb (16)Mar (8)
New Hampshire<0.0001<0.000138.16Jun/Aug (17)*Feb (17)Jan (15)
New Jersey<0.0001<0.000127.43Jun (16)Dec (10)Jan/Feb (17)*
New Mexico<0.0001<0.000129.30Jun (17)Sep (11)Feb (12)Jan (10)
New York<0.0001<0.000127.17Apr (9)Jun (8)Feb (17)Jan (9)
North Carolina<0.0001<0.000135.29Jun (13)Jul (9)Feb/Mar (17)*
North Dakota<0.0001<0.000129.53Jun/Aug (9)Sep/Oct (5)Feb (12)Jan (9)
Ohio<0.0001<0.000123.43Jun (12)Jul (10)Jan/Feb (17)*
Oklahoma<0.0001<0.000127.59Jun (17)May (11)Jan/Feb (17)*
Oregon<0.0001<0.000128.45Jun/Aug (10)May (7)Feb (17)Jan (14)
Pennsylvania<0.0001<0.000125.68Jun (17)Dec (6)Jan/Feb (17)*
Rhode Island<0.0001<0.000130.87Jun (15)Aug (9)Feb (17)Jan (14)
South Carolina0.1222<0.000129.95Jun (17)Dec (7)Jan (17)Feb (14)
South Dakota0.0128<0.000134.99Jun (11)Jul (10)Feb (17)Nov (9)
Tennessee0.0001<0.000129.62May (16)Jun (10)Feb (17)Jan (10)
Texas<0.0001<0.000127.65Jun (13)Dec (11)Feb (17)Jan (13)
Utah0.1037<0.000134.04Aug (14)Jun (12)Feb (17)Jul (5)
Vermont<0.0001<0.000129.11Aug (14)Sep (12)Mar (12)Feb (11)
Virginia<0.0001<0.000133.38Jun (17)Aug (9)Feb (17)Jan (8)
Washington<0.0001<0.000126.53Jun (12)Aug (11)Feb (17)Jan (10)
West Virginia0.2684<0.000121.95Aug (16)Jun (12)Feb (16)Oct (6)
Wisconsin<0.0001<0.000124.27Aug (14)Jul (10)Feb (17)Mar (8)
Wyoming0.0237<0.000138.51Aug (12)Jun (10)Feb (14)May (7)