Table 4

Effect of change in patterns of eating out on gain or loss in number of meals sold per week, based on 5691582 individuals in the population aged 15 years or over

Declared change in eating out patternCurrent pattern of eating outEffect of change in eating out pattern on number of meals gained or lost
Would eat out more: 20% of the5691582 population+ 1 time/week = 1138316 extra meals
survey respondents who eat out*+ 2 time/week = 2276632 extra meals
on average 5.5 times per week20% who would go more often+ 3 time/week = 3414948 extra meals
*+ 4 time/week = 4553264 extra meals
5.5 times eat out per week nowRange: 1.13 million to 4.5 million additional meals consumed per week
=
6260740 total current eating out visit/week
Would eat out less: 3% of the5691582 population−1 time/week = 170747 fewer meals
survey respondents who eat out*−2 time/week = 341495 fewer meals
on average 9.6 times per week3% who would go less often−3 time/week = 512242 fewer meals
*−4 time/week = 682988 fewer meals
9.6 times eat out per week nowRange: 170000 to 683000 fewer meals consumed/week
=
1639175 total current eating out visit/week
Would not change: 77% of the5691582 populationNo change
survey respondents who eat out*
on average 6.2 times per week77% who would not change
*
6.2 times eat out per week now
=
27171612 total current eating out visit/week
All groupsTotal number of eating out visit/week = 35173975Under the most conservative (worst case) assumption that 20% only eat out once more often and 3% eat out 4 times less often, there would be a net gain of 1138316 − 682988 = 455328 meals consumed/week; a gain in business of 1.3%