Smoking prevalence rates (%) predicted under different tax scenarios*
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| *Prevalence rates as a percentage of the adult (18+) population. | |||||||||
| †Tax changes are maintained from the year 2003 on. | |||||||||
| Males | |||||||||
| Price at 2001 level of NT$40.9 | 47.1 | 47.4 | 46.9 | 46.5 | 44.7 | 42.4 | 40.4 | 36.7 | 34.0 |
| Price change in 2002 to NT$50.6 | 47.1 | 44.6 | 44.2 | 43.6 | 41.5 | 38.9 | 36.8 | 32.9 | 30.1 |
| Tax increase of NT$5 in 2003† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 43.0 | 42.4 | 40.3 | 37.8 | 35.7 | 31.8 | 29.1 |
| Tax increase of NT$10 in 2003† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 42.0 | 41.4 | 39.3 | 36.8 | 34.7 | 30.9 | 28.3 |
| Tax increase of NT$25 in 2003† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 39.5 | 39.0 | 36.8 | 34.3 | 32.2 | 28.6 | 26.1 |
| Tax increase of NT$50 in 2003† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 36.8 | 36.4 | 34.1 | 31.5 | 29.5 | 25.8 | 23.6 |
| Tax increase of NT$50 with inflation adj.† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 36.8 | 36.2 | 33.4 | 30.4 | 28.0 | 23.6 | 20.7 |
| Tax increase of NT$90 with inflation adj.† | 47.1 | 44.6 | 34.1 | 33.6 | 30.7 | 27.7 | 25.1 | 20.8 | 17.9 |
| Females | |||||||||
| Price at 2001 level of NT$40.9 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Price change in 2002 to NT$50.6 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Tax increase of NT$5 in 2003† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Tax increase of NT$10 in 2003† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Tax increase of NT$25 in 2003† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Tax increase of NT$50 in 2003† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Tax increase of NT$50 with infl. adj.† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Tax increase of NT$90 with infl. adj.† | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.1 |