Deaths attributable to smoking predicted under different tax scenarios*
2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | Total lives saved† | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
*Deaths are per year. | ||||||||||
†Total lives saved is calculated from the year 2003–2040 by summing up the difference between the second row and current year. | ||||||||||
‡Tax changes are maintained from the year 2003 on. | ||||||||||
Males | ||||||||||
Price at 2001 level of NT$40.9 | 16584 | 16964 | 17349 | 18026 | 18804 | 19455 | 20099 | 23482 | 25160 | – |
Price change in 2002 to NT$50.6 | 16586 | 16971 | 17353 | 17972 | 18560 | 19022 | 19348 | 22313 | 23499 | – |
Tax increase of NT$5 in 2003‡ | 16586 | 16971 | 17357 | 17958 | 18488 | 18893 | 19112 | 21981 | 23055 | 12447 |
Tax increase of NT$10 in 2003‡ | 16586 | 16972 | 17361 | 17944 | 18422 | 18776 | 18899 | 21682 | 22655 | 23662 |
Tax increase of NT$25 in 2003‡ | 16586 | 16973 | 17368 | 17910 | 18257 | 18485 | 18373 | 20941 | 21668 | 51431 |
Tax increase of NT$50 in 2003‡ | 16586 | 16975 | 17376 | 17866 | 18056 | 18136 | 17750 | 20064 | 20505 | 84287 |
Tax increase of NT$50 with inflation adj.‡ | 16586 | 16975 | 17358 | 17813 | 17906 | 17876 | 17362 | 19329 | 19391 | 112926 |
Tax increase of NT$90 with inflation adj.‡ | 16586 | 16976 | 17362 | 17756 | 17671 | 17472 | 16664 | 18328 | 18071 | 150230 |
Females | ||||||||||
Price at 2001 level of NT$40.9 | 1903 | 1954 | 2005 | 2066 | 2064 | 2260 | 2565 | 3233 | 3934 | – |
Price change in 2002 to NT$50.6 | 1903 | 1955 | 2006 | 2061 | 2043 | 2218 | 2488 | 3098 | 3708 | – |
Tax increase of NT$5 in 2003‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2006 | 2060 | 2037 | 2206 | 2464 | 3061 | 3648 | 1550 |
Tax increase of NT$10 in 2003‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2007 | 2059 | 2032 | 2195 | 2443 | 3026 | 3594 | 2946 |
Tax increase of NT$25 in 2003‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2008 | 2056 | 2017 | 2167 | 2389 | 2942 | 3461 | 6400 |
Tax increase of NT$50 in 2003‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2009 | 2053 | 2000 | 2133 | 2324 | 2841 | 3304 | 10481 |
Tax increase of NT$50 with inflation adj.‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2006 | 2047 | 1986 | 2107 | 2282 | 2753 | 3152 | 14200 |
Tax increase of NT$90 with inflation adj.‡ | 1903 | 1955 | 2007 | 2042 | 1966 | 2067 | 2209 | 2636 | 2972 | 18890 |