Impact of tax changes on consumption and tax revenues in Pakistani Rupees (PKR)
| Tax | Retail price | Cigarette consumption | Tax revenue (millions PKR) | |||
| Actual (%) | PKR (10 cig) | PKR (10 cig) | Increase (%) | Decrease (%) | Actual (millions of cigarettes) | |
| 52.00% | 4.74 | 9.11 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 75620.35 | 35822.87 |
| 54.40% | 5.21 | 9.58 | 5.20% | 6.09% | 71016.89 | 37028.21 |
| 55.50% | 5.45 | 9.82 | 7.80% | 9.13% | 68715.16 | 37456.63 |
| 56.55% | 5.69 | 10.06 | 10.41% | 12.18% | 66413.43 | 37775.96 |
| 57.55% | 5.93 | 10.30 | 13.01% | 15.22% | 64111.70 | 37986.18 |
| 58.51% | 6.16 | 10.53 | 15.61% | 18.26% | 61809.97 | 38087.30 |
| 59.42% | 6.40 | 10.77 | 18.21% | 21.31% | 59508.23 | 38079.32 |
| 60.29% | 6.64 | 11.01 | 20.81% | 24.35% | 57206.50 | 37962.24 |
| 61.13% | 6.87 | 11.24 | 23.41% | 27.39% | 54904.77 | 37736.05 |
| 61.93% | 7.11 | 11.48 | 26.02% | 30.44% | 52603.04 | 37400.76 |
| 62.70% | 7.35 | 11.72 | 28.62% | 33.48% | 50301.31 | 36956.37 |
| 63.44% | 7.58 | 11.95 | 31.22% | 36.53% | 47999.58 | 36402.88 |
| 64.15% | 7.82 | 12.19 | 33.82% | 39.57% | 45697.85 | 35740.29 |
| 64.84% | 8.06 | 12.43 | 36.42% | 42.61% | 43396.12 | 34968.59 |
| 65.50% | 8.30 | 12.67 | 39.02% | 45.66% | 41094.39 | 34087.80 |
| 66.13% | 8.53 | 12.90 | 41.62% | 48.70% | 38792.66 | 33097.90 |
| 66.74% | 8.77 | 13.14 | 44.23% | 51.74% | 36490.93 | 31998.89 |
| 67.33% | 9.01 | 13.38 | 46.83% | 54.79% | 34189.20 | 30790.79 |
| 67.90% | 9.24 | 13.61 | 49.43% | 57.83% | 31887.47 | 29473.59 |
| 68.45% | 9.48 | 13.85 | 52.03% | 60.88% | 29585.74 | 28047.28 |
These projections are based on the assumption that the price elasticity used is constant.