Smoking-attributable healthcare expenditures under four scenarios of tobacco control funding: 2010–2016 ($ millions, 2009)
| Smoking-attributable healthcare expenditures | Savings in smoking-attributable healthcare expenditures compared to base case | ||||||||||||
| 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2012–2016 | |
| Scenario 1: base case | |||||||||||||
| Current smokers | 3498 | 3546 | 3657 | 3787 | 3940 | 4098 | 4315 | ||||||
| Former smokers | 2812 | 2828 | 2872 | 2932 | 3006 | 3083 | 3166 | ||||||
| Ever-smokers (current + former) | 6309 | 6374 | 6529 | 6719 | 6947 | 7181 | 7481 | ||||||
| Scenario 2: funding cut in half | |||||||||||||
| Current smokers | 3498 | 3546 | 3677 | 3833 | 4006 | 4191 | 4435 | −21 | −45 | −65 | −93 | −119 | −344 |
| Former smokers | 2812 | 2828 | 2870 | 2927 | 2999 | 3073 | 3153 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 37 |
| Ever-smokers (current + former) | 6309 | 6374 | 6547 | 6759 | 7005 | 7264 | 7588 | −18 | −40 | −58 | −83 | −107 | −307 |
| Scenario 3: $1.00 tobacco tax | |||||||||||||
| Current smokers | 3498 | 3546 | 3131 | 3133 | 3151 | 3170 | 3237 | 526 | 654 | 789 | 927 | 1079 | 3975 |
| Former smokers | 2812 | 2828 | 2964 | 3040 | 3132 | 3226 | 3327 | −92 | −108 | −125 | −143 | −162 | −631 |
| Ever-smokers (current + former) | 6309 | 6374 | 6095 | 6173 | 6283 | 6396 | 6564 | 434 | 546 | 664 | 785 | 917 | 3345 |
| Scenario 4: CDC recommended funding | |||||||||||||
| Current smokers | 3498 | 3546 | 3312 | 3099 | 2906 | 2715 | 2566 | 345 | 688 | 1035 | 1383 | 1750 | 5201 |
| Former smokers | 2812 | 2828 | 2907 | 3003 | 3114 | 3228 | 3351 | −35 | −71 | −108 | −145 | −185 | −544 |
| Ever-smokers (current + former) | 6309 | 6374 | 6219 | 6102 | 6020 | 5943 | 5916 | 310 | 617 | 927 | 1238 | 1565 | 4657 |
Expenditures are excess expenditures compared to healthcare expenditures of never-smokers.
CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.