IrelandSS projections of male smoking prevalence for ages 18 and older, Ireland, 2010–2040
| Policies/year | 2010 | 2011 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 |
| Status quo policies | 26.1% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 20.0% |
| Independent policy effects | |||||
| Tax 70% of retail price | 26.1% | 25.1% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 18.7% |
| Complete smoke free and enforcement | 26.1% | 25.9% | 24.1% | 21.7% | 20.0% |
| Comprehensive ad ban and enforcement | 26.1% | 25.8% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| High-intensity tobacco control campaign | 26.1% | 24.3% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| Strong health warnings | 26.1% | 25.6% | 23.8% | 21.4% | 19.7% |
| Strong youth access enforcement | 26.1% | 25.9% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| Cessation treatment policies | 26.1% | 25.4% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| Combined policy effects | |||||
| All of the above | 26.1% | 22.5% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| % Change in smoking prevalence from status quo | |||||
| Independent policy effects | |||||
| Tax 70% of retail price | −3.3% | −4.3% | −5.5% | −6.6% | |
| Complete smoke free and enforcement | −0.2% | −0.3% | −0.3% | −0.3% | |
| Comprehensive ad ban and enforcement | −0.5% | −0.6% | −0.7% | −0.7% | |
| High-intensity tobacco control campaign | −6.3% | −7.3% | −8.2% | −8.9% | |
| Strong health warnings | −1.2% | −1.5% | −1.6% | −1.6% | |
| Strong youth access enforcement | −0.0% | −1.9% | −3.6% | −5.4% | |
| Cessation treatment policies | −2.2% | −4.3% | −5.5% | −5.9% | |
| Combined policy effects | |||||
| All of the above | −13.1% | −19.4% | −24.2% | −27.7% | |