Table 3

Projected and saved events from 2012–2020 in different scenarios

CHD deathsMyocardial infarctionStrokes
Events
 Baseline
  Men155100 (152000–159000)334400 (324000–344000)248100 (247000–249000)
  Women87300 (86000–89000)182700 (179000–186000)281700 (280000–284000)
  Total242400 (238000–247000)517100 (503000–531000)529800 (527000–532000)
Events avoided
 Tobacco law
  Men5300 (3300–7200)12100 (7400–17000)2500 (1400–3600)
  Women2200 (1300–3100)4800 (2600–6900)1800 (1000–2500)
  Total7500 (4600–10300)16900 (10000–23700)4300 (3000–5600)
 Law plus price increase
  Men11400 (7800–15000)26000 (17100–34800)7700 (4300–11200)
  Women4100 (2600–5700)8600 (4900–12300)4200 (2300–6000)
  Total15500 (10400–20700)34600 (22000–47100)11900 (8100–15700)
  • CHD, coronary heart disease.