Simulation results: impact on prices and consumption
| Local cigarettes | Imported cigarettes | Shisha tobacco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tax value per pack, US$ | |||
| Excise | 0.35 | 1.13 | 0.60 |
| Customs | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| VAT | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| New excise tax per pack | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Total tax value/pack | 0.58 | 2.34 | 1.19 |
| Tax percentage of retail price | 72% | 73% | 44% |
| Retail price/pack, US$ | 0.50 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Tax increase/pack, US$ | 0.32 | 1.49 | 0.59 |
| New retail price, US$ | 0.80 | 3.21 | 2.67 |
| % Change in price | 61% | 92% | 34% |
| Change in consumption | |||
| Local cigarettes | −93.5% | ||
| Imported cigarettes | −7.0% | ||
| Shisha tobacco | −25.5% | ||