Table 2

Estimates of NUKDP or illicit cigarettes/tobacco as a proportion of total volume, 2009–2013, in the northeast and southwest of England based on tobacco industry (The Billion Pound Drop) and independent (NEMS) survey data

SouthwestIndustry report% NUKDP cigarettes11.4%12.1%
Independent report% NUKDP cigarettes18%10%
Independent report% illicit tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined)11%7%
Independent report% illicit cigarettes*11%5%
Independent report% NUKDP tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined)*20%15%
NortheastIndustry report% NUKDP cigarettes11.2%16.5%
Independent report% illicit tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined)15%13%9%
  • Source: Refs. 2 ,4 ,66–70 ,127.

  • HMRC estimate the market share of cross-border cigarettes as stable at 3% for the 3-year period 2009/2010 to 2011/2012 and that of RYO as 7% in each of 2009/2010 and 2010/2011 with a small decline to 6% in 2011/2012.1 ,25

  • *Based on additional data provided via personal correspondence with Paul Murray (8 and 9 July 2013).

  • HMRC, Her Majesty's Revenue and Customs; NUKDP, Non-UK Duty Paid; RYO, Roll Your Own.