Table 2

Transition probability matrices for A: smoking status (n=17 140) and B: quit status (n=7950—current and ex-smokers at Wave 3)

A Wave tWave t+2B Wave tWave t+2
Current smokerEx-smokerNever-smokerTotal (n)Ex-smokerCurrent tried to quitCurrent (no quit)Total (n)
Current smoker0.760.130.02*6370Ex-smoker0.900.020.029520
Ex-smoker0.050.890.01*9655Current tried to quit0.160.420.302295
Never-smoker0.010.010.9217645Current (no quit)0.110.190.613825
Total (n)572596751655034280Total (n)94051955329015915
  • Transitions into or out of refused, don't know or missing responses are not included in the table, but are included in probability denominators. Italicised probabilities present no change (stability) between waves.

  • *Nonsense transitions (current to never, ex-smokers to never-smokers), less than 1% of all observations.