Simulation results and impact on government revenue
| Local cigarettes | Imported cigarettes | Shisha tobacco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smuggling rate (% consumption) | 45% | 45% | |
| Government revenues | |||
| Excise | US$1 881 000 | US$176 659 000 | US$72 000 |
| Customs | – | US$5 452 000 | US$8000 |
| VAT | US$304 000 | US$28 571 000 | US$23 000 |
| New tax per pack | US$903 000 | US$156 874 000 | US$40 000 |
| Total | US$3 089 000 | US$367 557 000 | US$143 000 |
| Change in government revenues | (US$17 927 000) | US$144 585 000 | (US$7000) |
| Change in government revenues | −85% | 65% | −4% |
| Total change in government revenues from all tobacco products | US$126 651 000 | ||
| Percentage change in government revenues from all tobacco products | 52% | ||