Table 4

SimSmoke projections of male and female smoking attributable deaths, Russia, 2009–2055

Policy/years	2009	2015	2020	2025	2035	2045	2055	Cumulative 2015–2055
Status quo policies	417 667	417 047	419 133	428 697	425 367	384 094	333 503	16 547 739
Independent policy effects*
Excise tax increase			416 633	420 591	397 883	343 855	287 850	15 484 812
Complete smoke-free air law			411 029	412 811	390 453	350 267	301 593	15 466 630
Comprehensive marketing ban			413 452	417 741	401 620	361 479	312 058	15 814 409
High-intensity tobacco control campaign			415 161	420 775	407 653	366 500	316 750	15 994 566
Strong youth access enforcement			419 133	428 697	425 154	383 044	331 083	16 523 421
Cessation treatment policies			415 753	420 562	404 782	360 383	310 495	15 879 372
Combined policy effects			396 987	381 448	311 896	260 764	210 863	12 850 760
Absolute change in attributable deaths from status quo (deaths averted)†
Independent policy effects
Excise tax increase	–	–	2500	8106	27 484	40 238	45 653	1 062 927
Complete smoke-free air law	–	–	8104	15 886	34 914	33 826	31 911	1 081 109
Comprehensive marketing ban	–	–	5681	10 956	23 747	22 615	21 445	733 330
High-intensity tobacco control campaign	–	–	3973	7922	17 715	17 593	16 754	553 173
Strong youth access enforcement	–	–	–	–	213	1050	2420	24 318
Cessation treatment policies	–	–	3380	8135	20 585	23 711	23 008	668 367
Combined policy effects	–	–	22 147	47 249	113 471	123 329	122 640	3 696 979

*Policies are implemented at FCTC-consistent levels in 2015 and maintained at that level through 2055, except for excise taxes which are increased in steps from 28% of retail price in 2014, to 40% in 2015, to 60% in 2020, and 70% in 2025 and maintained at that level until 2055.
†Deaths averted measured as the change from the status quo level [e.g., Deaths w/policy in 2020- Deaths w/status quo in 2020].