Cigarette pack costs from increased travel costs and adult smoking prevalence in New Zealand for all the modelled tobacco retail outlet reduction interventions*
| Intervention (phased in over 10 years) | Pack of 20 cigarettes in 2025 | Total travel costs in 2025 | Notional cost of a pack in 2025=(pack+travel) | Ratio of costs Intervention:baseline | National smoking prevalence in 2025 (%) | Percentage reduction in outlets (%) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rural | Semiurban | Urban | Rural | Semiurban | Urban | Rural | Semiurban | Urban | ||||
| Baseline | $14.01 | $8.91 | $6.22 | $0.92 | $22.92 | $20.23 | $14.93 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Business-as-usual=9.9 | 0 |
| Reduce total number of tobacco outlets by 95% | $13.46 | $8.56 | $2.53 | $27.47 | $22.57 | $16.54 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 95 | |
| Permit sales at half the liquor stores (and nowhere else) | $44.97 | $20.50 | $9.93 | $58.98 | $34.51 | $23.94 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 9.1 | 94 | |
| Eliminate sales from outlets within 1 km of all schools | $11.92 | $7.93 | $2.43 | $25.93 | $21.94 | $16.44 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 89 | |
| Eliminate sales from outlets within 2 km of all schools | $13.59 | $11.28 | $5.74 | $27.60 | $25.29 | $19.75 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 96 | |
*All assumed to have a maximum of 50% of increased travel time attributed to buying tobacco; national smoking prevalence estimated using proportional population weighting by rural, semiurban and urban areas.