Policies, description and effect sizes of Russia SimSmoke
| Policy | Description | Potential effect sizes (%)* |
|---|---|---|
| Tax policy | Cigarette price index, taxes measure in absolute terms | For each 10% price increase: 3% reduction ages 15–17, 3% reduction ages 18–24 2% reduction ages 25–34, and 1% reduction ages 35 and above |
| Smoke-free air policies (first four policies are additive) | ||
| Worksite total ban | Ban in all areas -Apply only to those who are currently working and work indoors. Adjusted to reflect the percent of workers in the agricultural sector | 9.0% reduction |
| Restaurants total ban | Ban in all indoor restaurants in all areas | 3.0% reduction |
| Bars and pubs ban | Ban in all indoor areas of bars and pubs | 1.5% reduction |
| Other places total ban | Ban in 3 of 4 (malls, retail stores, public transportation and elevators) | 1.0% reduction |
| Enforcement and publicity | Government agency is designated to enforce and publicise the laws | Effects weakened by as much as 50% if 0 enforcement and publicity |
| Mass media campaigns (policies are mutually exclusive) | ||
| Highly publicised campaign | Campaign publicised heavily on TV (at least 2 months of the year) and at least some other media | 6.5% reduction |
| Moderately publicised campaign | Campaign publicised sporadically on TV and in at least some other media, and a local programme | 3.5% reduction |
| Low publicised campaign | Campaign publicised only sporadically in newspaper, billboard or some other media. | 1.0% reduction |
| Marketing bans (first three policies are mutually exclusive) | ||
| Comprehensive marketing ban | Ban is applied to television, radio, print, billboard, in-store displays, sponsorships and free samples | 10.0% reduction in prevalence, 12.0% reduction in initiation, 6.0% increase in cessation rates |
| Total advertising ban | Ban is applied to all media television, radio, print, billboard | 6.0% reduction in prevalence, 8.0% reduction in initiation, 4.0% increase in cessation rates |
| Weak advertising ban | Ban is applied to some television, radio, print, billboard | 2.0% reduction in prevalence and initiation only |
| Enforcement and publicity | Government agency is designated to enforce the laws | Effects weakened by as much as 50% if 0 enforcement |
| Warning labels (policies are mutually exclusive) | ||
| Strong | Labels are large, bold and graphic | 4.0% reduction in prevalence and in initiation, 10.0% increase in cessation rate |
| Moderate | Cover 1/3 of package, but not bold and graphic | 1.5% reduction in prevalence 1% reduction in initiation, 5% increase in cessation rate |
| Weak | Laws cover less than 1/3 of package, not bold or graphic | 1.0% reduction in prevalence and initiation rates, 2.0% increase in cessation rates |
| Cessation treatment policy | ||
| Complete availability and provision of pharmaco- and behavioural treatments, quit lines, and brief interventions | NRT in stores w/out Rx, Varenecline by Rx, provision of treatments in all health facilities, quit line, 100% brief interventions with follow-up | 6.75% reduction in prevalence, 55% increase in cessation rate. No effect on initiation rates |
| PT availability | PT is available and NRT is available without prescription | 1.0% reduction in prevalence in the first year; 6% increase in cessation rate in all future years |
| Treatment coverage policies | With a high-level campaign | 2.25% reduction in prevalence; 12% increase in cessation rate in all future years. (In the absence of a campaign, effects are reduced 25%.) |
| Quitlines | Active quitline | 0.5% reduction in prevalence in the first year; 5% increase in cessation rate in all future years |
| Youth access restrictions (policies are mutually exclusive) | ||
| Strongly enforced and publicised | Compliance checks are conducted regularly, penalties are heavy, and publicity is strong: vending machine and self-service bans | 30.0% reduction for age <16 in prevalence and initiation only, 20.0% reduction for ages 16–17 in prevalence and initiation only |
| Moderately enforced | Compliance checks are conducted sporadically, penalties are potent, and little publicity | 15.0% reduction for age <16 in prevalence and initiation only, 10.0% reduction for ages 16–17 in prevalence and initiation only |
| Low enforcement | Compliance checks are not conducted, penalties are weak, and no publicity | 3.0% reduction for age <16 in prevalence and initiation only, 2.0% reduction for ages 16–17 in prevalence and initiation only |
*Unless otherwise specified, the same percentage effect is applied as a percentage reduction in the prevalence in the initial year and as a percentage reduction in initiation rate and a percentage increase in the cessation rate in future years, and is applied to all ages and both genders. The effect sizes are shown relative to the absence of any policy.
NRT, nicotine replacement treatment.