Table 3

Attributed death and lifetime attributable risk of LCD and IHD death due to SHS exposure in Minnesota and US, 2004*

Minnesota†USA†
Lung cancerIschaemic heart diseaseLung cancerIschaemic heart disease
Total burden (B), 2004, deaths/year‡23524861157908450043
Attributable burden due to smoking (ABsm), 2004, deaths/year‡183877612554272715
Population at risk, current non-smokers aged 35+ (Prisk), 2004‡Male: 1 026 443Male: 57 058 144
Female: 1 140 400Female: 65 584 599
Prevalence of current smoking (psm), 2004, %§Male: 22.0 (17.7, 26.3)Male: 23.4 (21.6, 25.2)
Female: 19.5 (15.8, 23.2)Female: 18.5 (17.1, 19.9)
Prevalence of SHS exposure (pSHS), 2003–2004, %¶Male: 48.8 (41.6, 55.9)Male: 51.9 (44.3, 59.5)
Female: 46.6 (38.8, 54.4)Female: 44.2 (36.8, 51.6)
Relative risk due to SHS exposure (RRSHS)**1.22 (1.12, 1.32)1.27 (1.17, 1.37)1.22 (1.12, 1.32)1.27 (1.19, 1.36)
Disease burden among non-smokers (Bns), 2004, deaths/year410 (380, 439)3235 (3019, 3450)25 794 (24 031, 27 557)298 365 (278 356, 318 373)
Overall death rate among non-smokers aged 35+, per 1041.9 (1.7, 2.1)14.9 (13.5, 16.3)2.1 (1.9, 2.3)24.3 (22.0, 26.6)
PAF of disease burden among non-smokers due to SHS exposure (PAFSHS), %9.5 (5.4, 13.6)11.4 (7.3, 15.5)9.5 (5.4, 13.6)11.4 (7.9, 15.0)
Attributable burden among non-smokers due to SHS exposure (ABSHS), deaths/year39 (26, 52)369 (273, 466)2412 (1630, 3195)34 143 (26 281, 42 004)
Annual attributable risk due to SHS exposure (AARSHS), 10−617.8 (9.5, 26.1)170.4 (107.3, 233.5)19.7 (10.8, 28.6)278.4 (187.4, 369.3)
Lifetime attributable risk due to SHS exposure for 45 years (LERSHS), 10−6800 (430, 1180)7670 (4830, 10 510)890 (480, 1290)12 530 (8430, 16 620)
Percentage of SHS exposure in restaurants and bars of total SHS exposure in terms of time, %††Male: 8.5Male: 8.5
Female: 9.1Female: 9.1
Deaths attributed to SHS exposure in restaurants and bars, no./year3 (2.6, 4.3)32 (26, 38)214 (164, 263)3001 (2512, 3490)
  • *Assessment of disease burden was conducted separately for male and female populations, but aggregated data are presented in this table to save space; Overall death rate among non-smokers aged 35+, PAFSHS, AARSHS and LERSHS were weighted estimates by population at risk of males and females.

  • †Except ‡ § ¶ ** ††, all the other numbers were estimated according to equation 3 or 4; the CIs were estimated by propagation of uncertainties of reported parameters.

  • ‡Data obtained from the CDC Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Morbidity, and Economic Costs (SAMMEC) website.24

  • §Data obtained from CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR).26

  • ¶Data from CDC MMWR, which was defined as the percentage of non-smoking population with serum cotinine ≥ 0.05 ng/ml.27

  • **Relative risks due to SHS exposure from the meta-analysis in the Surgeon General's Report.28

  • ††Data from the 1992 to 1994 National Human Activity Pattern Survey (NHAPS) for the USA.29

  • AB, attributable burden; IHD, ischaemic heart disease; LCD, lung cancer death; LER, lifetime excess risk; PAF, population attributable fraction; RR, Relative risk; SHS, secondhand smoke.