Table 3

Associations between appeal, health warning effectiveness, perceived harm and enjoyment/concern variables measured at baseline, and pack concealment and microindicators of concern measured at 1-month follow-up among continuing cigarette smokers

Concealed or covered pack several or many times in past monthStubbed out several or many times in past monthStopped oneself from smoking several or many times in past month
Initial models (N=2568 to 2899)Initial models (N=2566 to 2919)Multivariable model (N=2559)Initial models (N=2567 to 2913)Multivariable model (N=2770)
OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)OR (95% CI)
Appeal variables
 Dislikes pack1.05 (0.69 to 1.61)1.40 (1.00 to 1.95)1.13 (0.85 to 1.50)
 Lower pack appeal1.25 (0.94 to 1.66)1.11 (0.88 to 1.40)1.17 (0.95 to 1.44)
 Lower quality1.07 (0.80 to 1.41)1.12 (0.88 to 1.43)1.07 (0.86 to 1.33)
 Lower satisfaction1.07 (0.78 to 1.45)1.36* (1.05 to 1.77)1.41* (1.07 to 1.84)1.36* (1.07 to 1.72)1.38** (1.09 to 1.76)
 Lower value for money0.94 (0.71 to 1.23)0.94 (0.76 to 1.18)1.10 (0.90 to 1.35)
 Believes brands do not differ in prestige0.93 (0.71 to 1.21)1.08 (0.86 to 1.35)0.99 (0.82 to 1.21)
Health warning effectiveness variables
 Notices GHW first when looking at pack0.95 (0.72 to 1.26)1.51*** (1.19 to 1.91)1.46** (1.13 to 1.88)1.09 (0.89 to 1.33)
Does not believe dangers of smoking are exaggerated0.91 (0.70 to 1.18)1.14 (0.91 to 1.42)1.31** (1.07 to 1.60)1.35** (1.09 to 1.67)
 Attributes much more motivation to quit to GHWs1.26 (0.84 to 1.89)1.93*** (1.38 to 2.71)1.75** (1.23 to 2.48)1.39* (1.02 to 1.90)1.32 (0.95 to 1.83)
 Concealed or covered pack in past month1.37** (1.08 to 1.74)1.32* (1.03 to 1.69)1.21 (0.97 to 1.50)
 Requested different GHW in past month1.46 (0.93 to 2.28)1.57* (1.07 to 2.30)1.49 (0.99 to 2.22)1.27 (0.89 to 1.82)
Perceived harm variables
 Believes brands do not differ in harmfulness0.96 (0.72 to 1.27)0.86 (0.68 to 1.10)0.98 (0.79 to 1.22)
Balance between enjoyment and concern
 More enjoyment1.001.001.001.001.00
 Balance1.01 (0.70 to 1.46)1.18 (0.86 to 1.62)1.15 (0.82 to 1.62)1.18 (0.90 to 1.56)1.14 (0.85 to 1.52)
 More concern0.91 (0.60 to 1.38)1.79*** (1.27 to 2.52)1.62* (1.12 to 2.34)1.43* (1.04 to 1.96)1.31 (0.94 to 1.82)
  • Bolded results are statistically significant at p<0.05. The weighted N per initial model varies due to missing data on outcome variables and predictor variables. The weighted N for each multivariable model includes only those cases with valid data on the outcome variable and all of the predictor variables included in the model. All models adjust for the outcome variable measured at baseline and for: date of the follow-up survey; number of days between baseline and follow-up survey; cumulative Target Audience Rating Points (antismoking television advertising) in the 3 months prior to the follow-up survey; change in cigarette costliness (based on month of the follow-up survey); sex; age; education; socioeconomic status and Heaviness of Smoking Index (measured at baseline). – Predictor variable not included in multivariable model due to non-significant (at p<0.05) association with outcome variable in initial model.

  • ***p≤0.001, **p<0.01, *p<0.05.

  • GHW, graphic health warning.