Scenarios for the estimation of illicit cigarette consumption in Hong Kong
| Scenarios | Average daily consumption by visiting smokers | Number of smokers (million) among Hong Kong passengers who bring duty-free cigarettes (%) | Number of visiting smokers (million) who bring duty-free cigarettes (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Upper bound | 17 | 0 (0) | 2.05 (50) |
| Midpoint bound | 15 | 4.04 (50) | 3.07 (75) |
| Lower bound | 13 | 8.09 (100) | 4.1 (100) |