Estimates of NUKDP or illicit cigarettes/tobacco as a proportion of total volume, 2009–2013, in the northeast and southwest of England based on tobacco industry (The Billion Pound Drop) and independent (NEMS) survey data
| Region | Source | Measure | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest | Industry report | % NUKDP cigarettes | 11.4% | 12.1% | |||
| Independent report | % NUKDP cigarettes | 18% | 10% | ||||
| Independent report | % illicit tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined) | 11% | 7% | ||||
| Independent report | % illicit cigarettes* | 11% | 5% | ||||
| Independent report | % NUKDP tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined)* | 20% | 15% | ||||
| Northeast | Industry report | % NUKDP cigarettes | 11.2% | 16.5% | |||
| Independent report | % illicit tobacco (cigarettes and RYO combined) | 15% | 13% | 9% |
Source: Refs. 2 ,4 ,66–70 ,127.
HMRC estimate the market share of cross-border cigarettes as stable at 3% for the 3-year period 2009/2010 to 2011/2012 and that of RYO as 7% in each of 2009/2010 and 2010/2011 with a small decline to 6% in 2011/2012.1 ,25
*Based on additional data provided via personal correspondence with Paul Murray (8 and 9 July 2013).
HMRC, Her Majesty's Revenue and Customs; NUKDP, Non-UK Duty Paid; RYO, Roll Your Own.