Table 1

ORs and 95% CIs for smoking transitions*

InitiationExperimentationEscalationQuitting
N (person-years)20 042636221222122
N (persons)5122288215291529
N (events)28821529558655
OR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CI
Female (ref: male)0.940.79 to 1.101.441.27 to 1.640.840.65 to 1.091.070.84 to 1.36
Age†1.341.21 to 1.48
Age at prior transition‡1.081.02 to 1.151.291.15 to 1.450.850.77 to 0.94
Years since prior transition§1.341.25 to 1.441.351.09 to 1.660.570.44 to 0.73
Wales (ref: England)0.950.85 to 1.070.800.67 to 0.970.890.62 to 1.280.960.69 to 1.35
Scotland (ref: England)1.000.89 to 1.130.820.69 to 0.970.860.59 to 1.241.320.95 to 1.82
Northern Ireland (ref: England)0.800.66 to 0.960.820.61 to 1.100.890.50 to 1.591.200.72 to 2.01
Period¶0.660.56 to 0.780.780.72 to 0.851.080.90 to 1.281.090.92 to 1.29
Period×period0.810.74 to 0.880.920.85 to 0.990.810.70 to 0.930.880.77 to 1.01
Other parental qualifications (ref: degree or higher)1.761.38 to 2.251.030.84 to 1.251.631.10 to 2.411.370.95 to 1.99
No parental qualifications (ref: degree or higher)3.822.84 to 5.141.230.96 to 1.582.191.32 to 3.631.290.82 to 2.03
Age×female1.141.06 to 1.22
Age×period1.041.00 to 1.08
Age×period×period1.051.01 to 1.08
Female×period1.010.92 to 1.11
Female×period×period0.910.84 to 0.99
Other parental qualifications×age0.920.83 to 1.02
No parenal qualifications×age0.770.68 to 0.87
Other parental qualifications×period1.040.90 to 1.19
No parental qualifications×period1.241.03 to 1.49
Years since prior transition×period0.740.59 to 0.930.940.72 to 1.23
  • *Data presented are average values across 20 imputed data sets.

  • †ORs associated with a 1-year increase in age from the reference value of 11 years.

  • ‡ORs associated with a 1-year increase in age at prior transition from the reference value of 11 years.

  • §ORs associated with a 1-year increase in years since prior transition from the reference value of 0 years.

  • ¶ORs associated with a 5-year increase from the reference value of 2001.