Transfer function model for SUS hospital admission rate for myocardial infarction, city of Sao Paulo, Brazil, January 2005 to December 2010
Input Series | Lag* | Estimate | SE | p Value | Mean of the mensal perceptual effect |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total hospital admission (n) | 0 | 0.0003 | 0.0001 | <0.001 | – |
Minimum air temperature (°C) | 0 | −0.1741 | 0.0278 | <0.001 | – |
Air relative humidity (%) | 7 | 0.0401 | 0.0126 | <0.001 | – |
COmax (ppm)† | 5 | 0.3151 | 0.1286 | 0.014 | – |
Smoking ban law (I)‡ | 0 | −0.7816 | 0.3419 | 0.022 | −5.4 |
3 | 0.8296 | 0.3956 | 0.036 | ||
ARIMA error structure | |||||
Autorregressive | 14 | −0.4602 | 0.1150 | <0.001 | – |
*Month.
†Maximum carbon monoxide level for each 8 hours.
‡Smoking ban law (starting in August 2009). Step function intervention, 1 if t≥T; 0 otherwise.