Table 3

Multivariate logistic regression of prospective associations between exposure to price promotions at W7 and W8 and smoking-related beliefs and smoking status at W8 among current and former smokers by country

Outcome variables at wave 8Canada
(n=1374)
UK
(n=1325)
Australia
(n=855)
USA
(n=1144)
Country x Exposure
AOR (95% CI)AOR (95% CI)AOR (95% CI)AOR (95% CI) F, p
Norms
Society disapproves (social norms)
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.38 (0.57 to 3.34)0.75 (0.43 to 1.29)2.06 (0.91 to 4.65)0.82 (0.39 to 1.75)1.28, 0.26
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.39 (0.81 to 2.40)1.87 (1.08 to 3.21)*1.76 (0.90 to 3.44)1.05 (0.47 to 2.37)
People think you should not smoke (injunctive norms)
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)0.89 (0.40 to 1.97)0.66 (0.32 to 1.35)0.76 (0.28 to 2.05)1.84 (0.76 to 4.48)0.50, 0.80
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.38 (0.73 to 2.60)0.95 (0.57 to 1.58)1.61 (0.64 to 4.05)1.36 (0.55 to 3.34)
Functional value of smoking
Calms down when stressed
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.87 (0.94 to 3.73)1.31 (0.75 to 2.30)1.03 (0.43 to 2.46)2.02 (1.04 to 3.95)*0.55, 0.76
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.30 (0.79 to 2.12)0.98 (0.60 to 1.60)1.66 (0.88 to 3.14)1.26 (0.65 to 2.45)
Important part of life
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)0.93 (0.53 to 1.65)0.78 (0.48 to 1.27)0.87 (0.44 to 1.74)0.65 (0.35 to 1.20)1.47, 0.18
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)0.73 (0.48 to 1.10)0.92 (0.62 to 1.36)1.23 (0.73 to 2.09)1.32 (0.70 to 2.47)
Enjoy smoking
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.80 (0.76 to 4.26)1.25 (0.63 to 2.50)0.88 (0.34 to 2.26)1.30 (0.54 to 3.15)0.49, 0.81
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.44 (0.84 to 2.47)1.07 (0.61 to 1.89)1.24 (0.62 to 2.50)1.24 (0.50 to 3.03)
Misconceptions around smoking
Lighter taste means less tar
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)0.89 (0.41 to 1.91)0.49 (0.30 to 0.80)*0.97 (0.41 to 2.30)0.53 (0.22 to 1.23)0.88, 0.50
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.34 (0.81 to 2.21)0.96 (0.58 to 1.59)1.10 (0.47 to 2.57)1.34 (0.56 to 3.19)
Harsher smoke is more dangerous
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)0.76 (0.41 to 1.41)0.53 (0.32 to 0.88)*0.74 (0.36 to 1.50)1.20 (0.66 to 2.18)1.81, 0.09
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.26 (0.82 to 1.94)0.69 (0.43 to 1.09)1.00 (0.57 to 1.74)1.82 (0.96 to 3.46)
Tobacco industry and its regulations
Tobacco industry more tightly regulated
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.67 (0.88 to 3.16)1.08 (0.66 to 1.79)1.54 (0.74 to 3.17)0.99 (0.58 to 1.69)0.30, 0.93
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.20 (0.79 to 1.81)0.86 (0.53 to 1.41)1.33 (0.79 to 2.22)1.11 (0.64 to 1.90)
Tobacco industry allowed no promotion for cigs
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.10 (0.56 to 2.16)0.99 (0.56 to 1.74)2.44 (0.96 to 6.17)1.06 (0.61 to 1.86)0.38, 0.88
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.98 (1.19 to 3.30)*1.28 (0.75 to 2.18)2.20 (1.06 to 4.55)*1.22 (0.68 to 2.19)
Tobacco plain packages for cigs
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.14 (0.65 to 1.98)0.91 (0.53 to 1.56)0.90 (0.43 to 1.85)0.94 (0.50 to 1.77)0.13, 0.99
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)0.91 (0.59 to 1.42)0.83 (0.56 to 1.23)1.18 (0.68 to 2.04)1.11 (0.58 to 2.11)
Tobacco industry sincerely improve health of customers
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.05 (0.56 to 1.96)1.03 (0.60 to 1.76)0.40 (0.16 to 0.99)*1.10 (0.65 to 1.86)0.47, 0.83
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)0.96 (0.61 to 1.49)0.90 (0.56 to 1.45)0.61 (0.34 to 1.10)1.05 (0.61 to 1.80)
Sue tobacco companies to recover healthcare costs
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.14 (0.62 to 2.10)0.92 (0.59 to 1.46)0.68 (0.27 to 1.70)1.25 (0.68 to 2.29)0.45, 0.84
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.20 (0.77 to 1.89)1.19 (0.76 to 1.86)1.09 (0.65 to 1.83)1.00 (0.54 to 1.83)
Smoking behaviour (being a current smoker at W8)
 At W7 and W8 (vs no exposure)1.20 (0.48 to 3.00)1.57 (0.76 to 3.21)2.09 (0.88 to 4.95)1.50 (0.62 to 3.65)0.18, 0.98
 At either W7 or W8 (vs no exposure)1.22 (0.64 to 2.34)1.10 (0.63 to 1.91)1.67 (0.76 to 3.67)1.07 (0.43 to 2.67)
  • Adjusted for age (reference: 18–24), gender (reference: male), ethnicity (reference: white, English only), income (reference: high), education (reference: high), marital status (reference: single), survey mode at W7 and W8 (reference: telephone, English), wave of recruitment (reference: W1 recruits) and smoking status at W7 (reference: daily smoker). All belief statements were adjusted for belief at W7 except for ‘tobacco industry sincerely improve health of customers’ because no measure was available at W7.

  • *p<0.05.

  • AOR, adjusted OR; W, wave.