Table 1

Health gain (in QALYs) from 10% per annum increases in tobacco tax from 2011 to 2020, among the New Zealand adult population alive in 2011 by sex and ethnicity for a differing time horizons, by age at accrual of QALYs in the future (3% discount rate)

 Age at which QALYs accrue (sexes combined) QALY gains for non-Māori QALY gains for Māori QALY gains for ethnic groups combined Cost savings for total population (NZ$million) 10-year time horizon 20–29 year olds 7 (4 to 12) 8 (4 to 14) 15 (8 to 25)$0.1 (0.1 to 0.2) 30–39 year olds 25 (14 to 41) 14 (8 to 22) 38 (22 to 63) $1.6 (0.9 to 2.7) 40–49 year olds 24 (14 to 40) 15 (8 to 24) 39 (22 to 64)$2.3 (1.3 to 3.8) 50–59 year olds 36 (21 to 60) 21 (12 to 35) 57 (33 to 94) $4.4 (2.5 to 7.3) 60–64 year olds 20 (12 to 34) 10 (6 to 17) 31 (18 to 51)$2.2 (1.3 to 3.7) 65–69 year olds 20 (11 to 34) 8 (5 to 13) 28 (16 to 47) $1.6 (0.9 to 2.8) 70–79 year olds 31 (17 to 51) 8 (4 to 13) 39 (22 to 64)$1.8 (1.0 to 3.1) 80+year olds 18 (10 to 29) 2 (1 to 4) 20 (12 to 33) $0.4 (0.2 to 0.7) Totals <65 years old 113 (64 to 186) 68 (38 to 112) 180 (105 to 297)$10.6 (6.0 to 17.7) All ages 182 (103 to 299) 86 (49 to 141) 268 (154 to 440) $14.5 (8.2 to 24.3) QALY gain in <65 per 1000 population in 2011 0.035 0.105 0.047 − Remaining lifetime time horizon <65 years old 5500 (3070 to 9180) 5840 (3330 to 9620) 11 300 (6450 to 18 600)$494.0 (274.0 to 816.0) All ages 21 900 (11 600 to 38 200) 17 200 (9430 to 29 100) 39 100 (20 900 to 67 300) \$799.0 (433.0 to 1350.0)