Table 1

Health gain (in QALYs) from 10% per annum increases in tobacco tax from 2011 to 2020, among the New Zealand adult population alive in 2011 by sex and ethnicity for a differing time horizons, by age at accrual of QALYs in the future (3% discount rate)

Age at which QALYs accrue (sexes combined)QALY gains for non-MāoriQALY gains for MāoriQALY gains for ethnic groups combinedCost savings for total population (NZ$ million)
10-year time horizon
 20–29 year olds7 (4 to 12)8 (4 to 14)15 (8 to 25)$0.1 (0.1 to 0.2)
 30–39 year olds25 (14 to 41)14 (8 to 22)38 (22 to 63)$1.6 (0.9 to 2.7)
 40–49 year olds24 (14 to 40)15 (8 to 24)39 (22 to 64)$2.3 (1.3 to 3.8)
 50–59 year olds36 (21 to 60)21 (12 to 35)57 (33 to 94)$4.4 (2.5 to 7.3)
 60–64 year olds20 (12 to 34)10 (6 to 17)31 (18 to 51)$2.2 (1.3 to 3.7)
 65–69 year olds20 (11 to 34)8 (5 to 13)28 (16 to 47)$1.6 (0.9 to 2.8)
 70–79 year olds31 (17 to 51)8 (4 to 13)39 (22 to 64)$1.8 (1.0 to 3.1)
 80+year olds18 (10 to 29)2 (1 to 4)20 (12 to 33)$0.4 (0.2 to 0.7)
Totals
<65 years old113 (64 to 186)68 (38 to 112)180 (105 to 297)$10.6 (6.0 to 17.7)
All ages182 (103 to 299)86 (49 to 141)268 (154 to 440)$14.5 (8.2 to 24.3)
 QALY gain in <65 per 1000 population in 2011 0.035 0.105 0.047
Remaining lifetime time horizon
 <65 years old5500 (3070 to 9180)5840 (3330 to 9620)11 300 (6450 to 18 600)$494.0 (274.0 to 816.0)
 All ages21 900 (11 600 to 38 200)17 200 (9430 to 29 100)39 100 (20 900 to 67 300)$799.0 (433.0 to 1350.0)
  • QALY, quality-adjusted life year.