Table 4

Impact of non-price tobacco control measures

Real
price (RMB/20)
Excise
share (% price)
Smoking rate (%)Adult
smokers (million)
Cigarette
packs (billion)
Real excise revenue (billion RMB)
2016 estimate12.834.527.7320117521
2030 prediction14.2 (14.1~14.3)33.5 (33~34)22.0 (20.9~23.1)268 (255~282)94 (83~106)447 (392~505)
Absolute change1.3 (1.2~1.4)−1 (−1~−1)−5.8 (−6.9~−4.7)−51 (−64~−38)−23 (−35~−11)−74 (−129~−16)
Relative change10 (9~11)−3 (−3~−3)−21 (−25~−17)−16 (−20~−12)−20 (−30~−10)−14 (−25~−3)
  • Note: US$1=6.64 RMB.