Table 1

Summary statistics

SurveyYearTotal adult population (million)Smoking prevalence (%)Smokers, n (million)Average daily intensityAnnual self-reported consumption (billion)Tax-paid consumption (National Treasury and Department of Trade and Industry) (billion)
AMPS200231.5825.157.949.0726.3126.13
(24.50 to 25.80)(7.74 to 8.15)(8.87 to 9.28)(25.26 to 27.36)
200332.1923.747.649.1625.5626.02
(23.05 to 24.44)(7.42 to 7.87)(8.94 to 9.39)(24.48 to 26.64)
200432.7924.458.028.8926.0125.64
(23.74 to 25.17)(7.78 to 8.25)(8.67 to 9.10)(24.91 to 27.11)
200533.3624.298.108.8226.0925.70
(23.57 to 25.02)(7.86 to 8.35)(8.60 to 9.04)(24.93 to 27.25)
200633.8724.578.328.7326.5226.15
(23.85 to 25.30)(8.08 to 8.57)(8.51 to 8.94)(25.30 to 27.73)
200734.3625.258.688.7127.5826.65
(24.52 to 25.97)(8.43 to 8.93)(8.50 to 8.92)(26.30 to 28.87)
200834.8523.508.198.6625.8727.15
(22.73 to 24.26)(7.92 to 8.46)(8.43 to 8.88)(24.41 to 27.33)
200935.3523.308.248.7726.3826.12
(22.61 to 23.99)(7.99 to 8.48)(8.55 to 9.00)(25.02 to 27.74)
201035.8919.777.099.2123.8523.56
(19.11 to 20.42)(6.86 to 7.33)(8.98 to 9.45)(22.65 to 25.06)
201136.4820.177.369.1024.4122.78
(19.51 to 20.82)(7.12 to 7.60)(8.88 to 9.32)(23.13 to 25.70)
201237.1121.087.82 9.10 25.98 23.06
(20.41 to 21.75)(7.57 to 8.07)(24.75 to 27.21)
201337.7620.977.92 9.10 26.30 22.18
(20.30 to 21.63)(7.67 to 8.17)(25.11 to 27.49)
201438.4220.787.98 9.10 26.51 23.17
(20.12 to 21.43)(7.73 to 8.23)(25.29 to 27.73)
201539.07 26.51 23.02
201639.67 26.51 22.01
201740.28 26.51 19.42
NIDS200834.8521.127.368.5222.9027.15
(20.28 to 21.97)(7.07 to 7.65)(8.21 to 8.84)(20.78 to 25.01)
201035.8918.076.498.8220.8723.56
(17.31 to 18.84)(6.21 to 6.76)(8.42 to 9.22)(17.50 to 24.24)
201237.1119.657.298.2822.0223.06
(18.90 to 20.39)(7.01 to 7.57)(7.98 to 8.57)(19.29 to 24.76)
201539.0720.347.958.2523.9323.02
(19.65 to 21.03)(7.68 to 8.22)(7.96 to 8.54)(21.03 to 26.83)
201740.2819.898.018.0423.4919.42
(19.20 to 20.57)(7.73 to 8.29)(7.76 to 8.31)(20.35 to 26.63)
  • AMPS sample sizes vary between 20 377 and 29 458 respondents. NIDS sample sizes vary between 15 556 and 22 493 respondents. Numbers in brackets show 99% CIs. Numbers in italics are authors’ own estimates: we assume that smoking intensity in 2012–2014 remains at the 2011 estimate of 9.1 cigarettes per day and that annual self-reported consumption in 2015–2017 remains at the 2014 level of 26.51 billion cigarettes.

  • Source: All Media and Products Survey (AMPS, 2002–2014);30 31 National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2015, 2017);32–36 United Nations;44 National Treasury;41 and Department of Trade and Industry.42