Cumulative SADs (from 2000) by gender, as simulated by Taiwan SimSmoke
| Gender | Scenario | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 |
| Women | Status quo | 17 584 | 27 599 | 39 077 | 66 186 | 100 225 | 137 868 | 176 126 |
| Counterfactual | 17 743 | 28 474 | 41 498 | 75 136 | 120 281 | 173 697 | 233 287 | |
| Full200 | // | // | 39 017 | 64 559 | 94 638 | 126 941 | 158 752 | |
| Full300 | // | // | 39 007 | 64 276 | 93 652 | 124 992 | 155 561 | |
| Men | Status quo | 184 204 | 279 268 | 377 474 | 583 049 | 809 075 | 1 027 828 | 1 214 564 |
| Counterfactual | 185 801 | 287 611 | 400 021 | 663 244 | 977 378 | 1 303 450 | 1 609 227 | |
| Full200 | // | // | 377 074 | 571 265 | 768 700 | 952 264 | 1 102 727 | |
| Full300 | // | // | 377 007 | 569 366 | 762 322 | 940 423 | 1 084 769 |