Smoking rate by gender, as simulated by Taiwan SimSmoke
| Gender | Scenario | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | |
| Overall | Status Quo | Current smokers | 22.2% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| Never smokers | 67.1% | 68.3% | 69.7% | 71.6% | 74.1% | 76.9% | 79.6% | ||
| Counterfactual | Current smokers | 30.3% | 30.0% | 30.1% | 29.7% | 28.8% | 28.4% | 28.4% | |
| Never smokers | 65.3% | 65.5% | 65.3% | 65.3% | 65.9% | 66.3% | 66.5% | ||
| Full200 | Current smokers | // | // | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 70.3% | 72.8% | 75.9% | 79.3% | 82.9% | ||
| Full300 | Current smokers | // | // | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 70.5% | 73.2% | 76.4% | 79.9% | 83.7% | ||
| Women | Status Quo | Current smokers | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Never smokers | 93.4% | 93.6% | 93.9% | 94.3% | 94.8% | 95.1% | 95.6% | ||
| Counterfactual | Current smokers | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | |
| Never smokers | 92.9% | 92.8% | 92.8% | 92.7% | 92.7% | 92.6% | 92.5% | ||
| Full200 | Current smokers | // | // | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 94.1% | 94.6% | 95.2% | 95.7% | 96.3% | ||
| Full300 | Current smokers | // | // | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 94.1% | 94.7% | 95.3% | 95.9% | 96.5% | ||
| Men | Status Quo | Current smokers | 37.6% | 34.9% | 30.7% | 27.4% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 21.1% |
| Never smokers | 41.3% | 43.2% | 45.5% | 48.6% | 53.1% | 57.8% | 62.3% | ||
| Counterfactual | Current smokers | 51.6% | 50.5% | 50.0% | 48.5% | 46.5% | 45.5% | 45.0% | |
| Never smokers | 38.2% | 38.4% | 37.9% | 37.5% | 38.3% | 38.8% | 39.0% | ||
| Full200 | Current smokers | // | // | 24.5% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.9% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 46.6% | 50.9% | 56.4% | 62.3% | 68.2% | ||
| Full300 | Current smokers | // | // | 23.2% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | |
| Never smokers | // | // | 46.9% | 51.5% | 57.2% | 63.4% | 69.6% |