Estimated and predicted deaths from smoking and actual and predicted deaths from HIV/AIDS among gay or bisexual men: California, 2005–2050
| Smoking-attributable deaths | Deaths from HIV/AIDS | |||
| Year | Estimated | Predicted* | Actual | Predicted* |
| 2005 | 751 | 742 | 1036 | 1036 |
| 2006 | 738 | 729 | 1081 | 1016 |
| 2007 | 711 | 716 | 1019 | 996 |
| 2008 | 701 | 703 | 945 | 976 |
| 2009 | 685 | 690 | 925 | 955 |
| 2010 | 667 | 677 | 867 | 935 |
| 2011 | 642 | 664 | 892 | 915 |
| 2012 | 656 | 651 | 891 | 895 |
| 2013 | 654 | 638 | 878 | 874 |
| 2014 | 629 | 625 | 918 | 854 |
| TOTAL 2005–2014 | 6836 | 6836 | 9452 | 9452 |
*Predicted deaths are based on a smoothing function applied to the estimated or actual death.