Country/region | Men | Women | ||||||||||
2014* | Year max SAMF§ | Level max SAMF§ | 2040 | 2065 | 2100 | 2014* | Year max SAMF§ | Level max SAMF§ | 2040 | 2065 | 2100 | |
Northern Europe | 16.20 | 1987 | 26.86 | 8.60 | 6.91 | 6.25 | 19.22 | 2013 | 20.11 | 7.04 | 4.13 | 3.88 |
Denmark | 22.49 | 1985 | 34.05 | 9.55 | 7.27 | 6.21 | 26.98 | 2006 | 28.26 | 6.76 | 3.74 | 3.72 |
Finland | 16.03 | 1972 | 39.46 | 8.75 | 6.84 | 6.13 | 10.44 | 2029 | 11.82 | 10.30 | 4.82 | 3.59 |
Iceland | 14.91 | 1999 | 20.99 | 9.36 | 7.05 | 6.26 | 23.37 | 2007 | 25.65 | 7.14 | 4.36 | 4.36 |
Norway | 16.51 | 1997 | 22.80 | 8.60 | 7.05 | 6.38 | 18.84 | 2013 | 18.78 | 6.45 | 4.14 | 4.14 |
Sweden | 11.08 | 1981 | 17.00 | 6.74 | 6.32 | 6.25 | 16.48 | 2012 | 16.05 | 4.57 | 3.59 | 3.59 |
Western Europe | 22.03 | 1982 | 35.55 | 11.07 | 7.81 | 6.68 | 16.02 | 2019 | 16.13 | 10.80 | 5.13 | 4.19 |
Austria | 21.08 | 1974 | 32.87 | 11.25 | 8.18 | 7.01 | 13.63 | 2032 | 16.92 | 15.90 | 7.63 | 3.98 |
Belgium | 26.07 | 1984 | 41.76 | 10.22 | 6.73 | 6.17 | 14.09 | 2026 | 15.19 | 12.53 | 4.17 | 3.65 |
France | 25.59 | 1994 | 31.41 | 13.74 | 8.04 | 6.77 | 9.73 | 2017 | 9.56 | 4.88 | 4.68 | 4.68 |
Germany | 22.05 | 1983 | 31.81 | 11.35 | 7.61 | 6.51 | 13.46 | 2023 | 13.94 | 9.50 | 4.66 | 4.66 |
Ireland | 19.46 | 1983 | 31.43 | 8.51 | 6.30 | 5.96 | 22.20 | 2009 | 20.17 | 14.02 | 5.87 | 3.66 |
Luxembourg | 23.97 | 1983 | 37.99 | 12.09 | 8.37 | 6.65 | 14.39 | 2019 | 12.38 | 10.35 | 6.33 | 4.25 |
Netherlands | 23.46 | 1982 | 42.00 | 13.06 | 9.37 | 7.21 | 21.89 | 2017 | 21.76 | 12.06 | 4.17 | 4.17 |
Switzerland | 16.83 | 1980 | 30.68 | 9.12 | 7.68 | 7.03 | 12.35 | 2018 | 12.77 | 5.93 | 4.28 | 4.28 |
United Kingdom | 19.73 | 1975 | 39.96 | 10.28 | 7.98 | 6.85 | 22.43 | 2010 | 22.50 | 11.99 | 4.41 | 4.39 |
Southern Europe | 23.96 | 1998 | 28.53 | 12.22 | 7.56 | 6.54 | 5.92† | 2027 | 11.00 | 8.61 | 3.97 | 3.92 |
Greece | 29.03 | 1995 | 30.53 | 15.40 | 8.05 | 6.65 | 7.18 | 2021 | 8.08 | 4.25 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
Italy | 21.56 | 1988 | 32.61 | 8.20 | 6.50 | 6.36 | 9.41 | 2033 | 13.92 | 12.96 | 4.14 | 4.03 |
Portugal | 20.87 | 2011 | 20.59 | 15.38 | 8.86 | 6.56 | 2.94 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Spain | 24.38 | 1996 | 30.39 | 9.89 | 6.83 | 6.61 | 4.15 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Central Europe | 31.13 | 1993 | 41.21 | 10.37 | 6.47 | 6.01 | 15.70 | 2022 | 15.99 | 10.58 | 4.46 | 3.89 |
Czech Republic | 26.09 | 1988 | 42.25 | 8.19 | 6.11 | 5.92 | 13.49 | 2013 | 13.21 | 5.14 | 3.51 | 3.51 |
Hungary | 40.65 | 1996 | 43.05 | 15.42 | 6.58 | 6.38 | 24.44 | 2027 | 25.84 | 20.11 | 3.87 | 3.82 |
Poland | 33.65 | 1996 | 42.75 | 11.20 | 6.86 | 5.93 | 17.09 | 2019 | 16.29 | 8.22 | 4.08 | 4.08 |
Slovakia | 28.51 | 1991 | 41.20 | 8.78 | 6.70 | 5.92 | 8.86 | 2017 | 8.66 | 4.08 | 3.74 | 3.74 |
Slovenia | 26.75 | 1993 | 36.80 | 8.24 | 6.08 | 5.92 | 14.63 | 2034 | 15.95 | 15.34 | 7.08 | 4.30 |
Eastern Europe | 31.93 | 1993 | 40.89 | 11.66 | 7.07 | 5.97 | 3.56 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Belarus | 31.33 | 1995 | 40.88 | 14.40 | 8.63 | 6.10 | 0.09 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Estonia | 30.71 | 1995 | 40.69 | 6.34 | 5.90 | 5.89 | 8.82 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Latvia | 31.99 | 1992 | 40.31 | 11.54 | 6.37 | 5.91 | 3.94 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Lithuania | 32.65 | 1994 | 40.33 | 10.61 | 6.28 | 5.91 | 4.04 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Russia | 34.36 | 1992 | 44.45 | 14.22 | 7.74 | 5.98 | 2.72 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Ukraine | 30.58 | 1992 | 38.69 | 12.84 | 7.52 | 6.01 | 1.76 | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
Europe | 24.91 | 1989 | 35.16 | 10.80 | 7.23 | 6.33 | 12.55‡ | 2019 | 16.59 | 9.64 | 4.62 | 4.02 |
Bold indicates the unweighted averages for the regions.
*Or the latest available year before that for Greece (2013), Russia (2013) and Ukraine (2012).
†Average based on the four included Southern European countries. For Greece and Italy the average is 8.30 %.
‡Average based on the 29 included countries. For the 21 countries with realistic projections, the average is 15.97%.
§Based on smoothing (Loess 2/0.25) over time of the fitted (or observed when absent) with the projected values.