Table 2

Sensitivity analysis of estimates of the impact of decreased smoking prevalence in Minnesota, 1998–2017

ScenarioChange in total disease eventsChange in
SA deaths		Change in
SA costs
($ millions)		Change in productivity losses
($ millions)
Base case−49 132 −4118 −2657 −2378
Relative risk of SA disease +25%−60 129−4858−2634−2577
Relative risk of SA disease −25%−37 609−3198−2683−2153
SA medical costs+35%−49 132−4118−3587−2368
A medical costs −35%−49 132−4118−1727−2368
Alternative SA medical costs−49 132−4118−2912−2368
Productivity valuation +35%−49 132−4118−2657−3197
Productivity valuation −35%−49 132−4118−2657−1539

  • SA, smoking-attributable.