Table 3

Simulated effects of cigarette tax increase on cigarette price, tax share, sales, smoking prevalence, number of adult smokers and tax revenue, 2019–2025

YearTax per pack of 20 cigarettes (US$)Retail price per pack of 20 cigarettes (US$)Tax share (% of retail price)Cigarette sale (million pieces)Adult smoking prevalence (%)Number of adult smokers (thousands)Cigarette tax revenue (million US$)
20191.583.4645.7454.39.2438.535.9
20203.355.2563.7282.87.6359.047.3
20213.475.4064.3280.87.6360.648.7
20223.605.5564.9278.67.6361.950.2
20233.745.7065.5276.37.5362.951.6
20243.885.8766.2274.07.5363.653.2
20254.036.0466.8271.77.5364.054.7