Simulated effects of cigarette tax increase on cigarette price, tax share, sales, smoking prevalence, number of adult smokers and tax revenue, 2019–2025
Year | Tax per pack of 20 cigarettes (US$) | Retail price per pack of 20 cigarettes (US$) | Tax share (% of retail price) | Cigarette sale (million pieces) | Adult smoking prevalence (%) | Number of adult smokers (thousands) | Cigarette tax revenue (million US$) |
2019 | 1.58 | 3.46 | 45.7 | 454.3 | 9.2 | 438.5 | 35.9 |
2020 | 3.35 | 5.25 | 63.7 | 282.8 | 7.6 | 359.0 | 47.3 |
2021 | 3.47 | 5.40 | 64.3 | 280.8 | 7.6 | 360.6 | 48.7 |
2022 | 3.60 | 5.55 | 64.9 | 278.6 | 7.6 | 361.9 | 50.2 |
2023 | 3.74 | 5.70 | 65.5 | 276.3 | 7.5 | 362.9 | 51.6 |
2024 | 3.88 | 5.87 | 66.2 | 274.0 | 7.5 | 363.6 | 53.2 |
2025 | 4.03 | 6.04 | 66.8 | 271.7 | 7.5 | 364.0 | 54.7 |