Table 3

Multivariate regression models of changes in tobacco use behaviour across survey waves

(Wave 2 vs Wave 1(ref))‡§(Wave 3 vs Wave 1(ref))‡§(Wave 3 vs Wave 2(ref))‡§
Odds/mean ratios (95% CI)P valueOdds/mean ratios (95% CI)P valueOdds/mean ratios (95% CI)P value
Cigarettes smoked per day**1.15 (1.11 to 1.19) 0.0001 0.97 (0.86 to 1.10)0.6650.85 (0.77 to 0.93) <0.001
Past year quit attempt**+ 0.89 (0.56 to 1.43)0.6420.80 (0.71 to 0.91) <0.001 0.90 (0.64 to 1.27)0.547
Thinking of quitting in the next 30 days**0.44 (0.29 to 0.67) <0.001 0.62 (0.23 to 1.69)0.3521.41 (0.79 to 2.51)0.249
Usual cigarette is menthol**0.80 (0.72 to 0.90) 0.0002 0.81 (0.32 to 2.00)0.6401.00 (0.45 to 2.22)0.998
Only smoke menthol cigarette in the past month††0.58 (0.21 to 1.63)0.3030.19 (0.18 to 0.19) <0.0001 0.32 (0.12 to 0.89) 0.029
  • Controlled for nesting of participants within programmes.

  • Presented are ORs for dichotomous outcomes and mean ratios for count outcome.

  • *Wave 2, post-menthol ban, May 2019.

  • †Wave 1, pre-menthol ban, June 2018.

  • ‡Wave 3, post-menthol ban, November 2019.

  • §Smokers only.

  • ¶Menthol smokers only.

  • Ref, reference category.