Prevalence of illicit tobacco trade (ITT) by locality and by mode: counterfeit tax stamps in packs manufactured in Argentina determined by stamp analysis or econometric modelling and smuggling of foreign packs
| Counterfeiting (domestic packs) | ||||||||||
| Expert analysis of tax stamps/pack features | Combined stamp analysis+econometric model | Smuggling (foreign packs) | Overall ITT (%) | |||||||
| Total (n) | Counterfeit (%) | 95% CI | Total (n) | Counterfeit (%) | 95% CI | Total (n) | Smuggling (%) | 95% CI | ||
| CABA | 1658 | 4.4 | 3.4 to 5.3 | 1945 | 5.8 | 5.1 to 6.5 | 64 | 12.5 | 4.3 to 21.5 | 6.1 |
| Córdoba | 1512 | 5.3 | 4.1 to 6.4 | 1730 | 6.1 | 5.4 to 6.8 | 75 | 41.3 | 31.3 to 54.8 | 7.7 |
| La Matanza | 1741 | 4.8 | 3.7 to 5.7 | 2068 | 7.9 | 7.2 to 8.6 | 48 | 8.3 | 0.2 to 17.9 | 7.9 |
| Mendoza | 1464 | 17.6 | 15.6 to 19.5 | 1711 | 14.0 | 13.2 to 15.1 | 23 | 34.7 | 13.7 to 55.8 | 14.5 |
| Neuquén | 1330 | 4.4 | 3.3 to 5.5 | 1547 | 4.8 | 4.1 to 5.4 | 49 | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.0 | 4.7 |
| Posadas | 833 | 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 893 | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.6 | 1639 | 98.7 | 98.2 to 99.3 | 64.1 |
| Rosario | 1500 | 5.5 | 4.3 to 6.6 | 1779 | 5.3 | 4.5 to 6.0 | 189 | 60.3 | 54.2 to 68.4 | 10.9 |
| Salta | 1065 | 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 1354 | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.8 | 544 | 94.1 | 92.3 to 96.2 | 27.7 |
| Total | 11 103 | 5.8* | 5.3 to 6.2 | 13027 | 6.1* | 5.9 to 6.4 | 2631 | 7.6* | 7.2 to 8.0 | 13.7* |
*Weighted by population size per locality.