Baseline scenario
Minimum excise tax FM cigarettes | Minimum excise tax RYO tobacco | WAP FM cigarettes | 95% CI | WAP RYO tobacco | 95% CI | Price gap | 95% CI | |
AT | 151.8 | 120.0 | 4.97 | 4.90 to 5.04 | 2.75 | 2.51 to 2.97 | 2.23 | 2.01 to 2.45 |
BE | 191.7 | 104.6 | 6.28 | 6.17 to 6.37 | 2.01 | 1.76 to 2.25 | 4.27 | 4.06 to 4.50 |
BG | 90.5 | 77.7 | 2.65 | 2.64 to 2.65 | 1.64 | 1.61 to 1.66 | 1.01 | 0.696 to 1.30 |
CZ | 112.7 | 95.6 | 3.53 | 3.48 to 3.57 | 2.03 | 1.90 to 2.15 | 1.50 | 1.29 to 1.71 |
DE | 163.6 | 71.0 | 5.89 | 5.82 to 5.96 | 2.00 | 1.95 to 2.04 | 3.89 | 3.70 to 4.08 |
DK | 235.1 | 181.0 | 7.10 | 6.79 to 7.41 | 3.63 | 3.19 to 4.06 | 3.47 | 3.16 to 3.74 |
EE | 138.7 | 89.6 | 4.07 | 3.91 to 4.21 | 0.91 | 0.789 to 1.02 | 3.16 | 2.93 to 3.38 |
EL | 117.5 | 170.0 | 3.79 | 3.76 to 3.81 | 3.53 | 3.41 to 3.65 | 0.26 | 0.064 to 0.463 |
ES | 131.5 | 98.8 | 4.46 | 4.45 to 4.46 | 2.37 | 2.33 to 2.40 | 2.09 | 1.88 to 2.27 |
FI | 292.3 | 180.5 | 7.88 | 7.47 to 8.28 | 3.03 | 2.61 to 3.43 | 4.85 | 4.51 to 5.18 |
FR | 314.0 | 281.0 | 9.08 | 8.69 to 9.45 | 5.41 | 4.63 to 6.17 | 3.67 | 3.33 to 4.01 |
HR | 111.2 | 107.9 | 3.62 | 3.55 to 3.68 | 2.26 | 2.09 to 2.42 | 1.36 | 1.03 to 1.65 |
HU | 103.0 | 61.8 | 3.69 | 3.64 to 3.72 | 1.43 | 1.36 to 1.50 | 2.26 | 2.06 to 2.45 |
IE | 395.1 | 379.8 | 11.88 | 11.4 to 12.2 | 8.03 | 7.43 to 8.62 | 3.85 | 3.49 to 4.20 |
IT | 141.3 | 130.0 | 4.81 | 4.80 to 4.82 | 2.60 | 2.50 to 2.70 | 2.21 | 2.01 to 2.41 |
LT | 108.5 | 78.5 | 3.41 | 3.31 to 3.51 | 1.61 | 1.47 to 1.74 | 1.80 | 1.59 to 2.00 |
LV | 114.7 | 75.0 | 3.58 | 3.49 to 3.66 | 2.32 | 2.22 to 2.40 | 1.26 | 1.05 to 1.46 |
NL | 238.3 | 156.0 | 7.12 | 6.90 to 7.32 | 3.40 | 3.01 to 3.77 | 3.72 | 3.47 to 4.01 |
PL | 103.9 | 49.0 | 3.24 | 3.20 to 3.28 | 1.43 | 1.42 to 1.44 | 1.81 | 1.58 to 2.00 |
PT | 136.8 | 175.0 | 4.43 | 4.42 to 4.43 | 3.68 | 3.36 to 3.99 | 0.75 | 0.529 to 0.964 |
RO | 109.0 | 98.1 | 3.73 | 3.70 to 3.75 | 3.15 | 3.13 to 3.16 | 0.58 | 0.274 to 0.891 |
SE | 149.6 | 181.1 | 5.59 | 5.50 to 5.66 | 4.83 | 4.67 to 4.97 | 0.76 | 0.532 to 0.976 |
SI | 114.0 | 94.0 | 3.67 | 3.62 to 3.71 | 2.46 | 2.32 to 2.58 | 1.21 | 1.00 to 1.41 |
SK | 100.1 | 76.7 | 3.25 | 3.23 to 3.25 | 2.54 | 2.53 to 2.53 | 0.71 | 0.522 to 0.938 |
UK | 330.4 | 248.6 | 10.19 | 10.0 to 10.3 | 6.47 | 6.35 to 6.57 | 3.73 | 3.48 to 3.95 |
Mean | 167.8 | 135.3 | 5.28 | 5.18 to 5.36 | 3.02 | 2.95 to 3.08 | 2.26 | 2.15 to 2.34 |
SD | 89.2 | 81.1 | 2.39 | 2.31 to 2.47 | 1.66 | 1.61 to 1.70 | 1.35 | 1.27 to 1.44 |
CV | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.45 | 0.44 to 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.53 to 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.57 to 0.63 |
Median | 131.5 | 107.9 | 4.43 | 4.20 to 4.54 | 2.54 | 2.43 to 2.64 | 2.09 | 1.90 to 2.20 |
IQR | 2.66 | 2.43 to 2.89 | 1.52 | 1.36 to 1.66 | 2.46 | 2.15 to 2.68 | ||
IQR to median | 0.60 | 0.55 to 0.66 | 0.60 | 0.52 to 0.65 | 1.17 | 1.02 to 1.32 |
Minimum excise tax FM cigarettes is expressed in € per 1000 FM cigarettes.
Minimum excise tax RYO tobacco is expressed in € per 1000 g of fine cut tobacco.
WAP FM cigarettes is expressed in € per 20 FM cigarettes.
WAP RYO tobacco is expressed in € per 20 sticks equivalent of fine cut tobacco (ie, 14 g).
AT (Austria), BE (Belgium), BG (Bulgaria), CZ (Czeck Republic), DE (Germany), DK (Denmark), EE (Estonia), EL (Greece), ES (Spain), FI (Finland), FR (France), HR (Croatia), HU (Hungary), IE (Ireland), IT (Italy), LT (Lithuania), LV (Latvia), NL (Netherlands), PL (Poland), PT (Portugal), RO (Romania), SE (Sweden), SI (Slovenia), SK (Slovakia), UK (United Kingdom)
CV, coefficient of variation; FM, factory-made; RYO, roll-your-own tobacco; WAP, weighted average price.