Table 1

Baseline scenario

Minimum excise tax FM cigarettesMinimum excise tax RYO tobaccoWAP FM cigarettes95% CIWAP RYO tobacco95% CIPrice gap95% CI
AT151.8120.04.974.90 to 5.042.752.51 to 2.972.232.01 to 2.45
BE191.7104.66.286.17 to 6.372.011.76 to 2.254.274.06 to 4.50
BG90.577.72.652.64 to 2.651.641.61 to 1.661.010.696 to 1.30
CZ112.795.63.533.48 to 3.572.031.90 to 2.151.501.29 to 1.71
DE163.671.05.895.82 to 5.962.001.95 to 2.043.893.70 to 4.08
DK235.1181.07.106.79 to 7.413.633.19 to 4.063.473.16 to 3.74
EE138.789.64.073.91 to 4.210.910.789 to 1.023.162.93 to 3.38
EL117.5170.03.793.76 to 3.813.533.41 to 3.650.260.064 to 0.463
ES131.598.84.464.45 to 4.462.372.33 to 2.402.091.88 to 2.27
FI292.3180.57.887.47 to 8.283.032.61 to 3.434.854.51 to 5.18
FR314.0281.09.088.69 to 9.455.414.63 to 6.173.673.33 to 4.01
HR111.2107.93.623.55 to 3.682.262.09 to 2.421.361.03 to 1.65
HU103.061.83.693.64 to 3.721.431.36 to 1.502.262.06 to 2.45
IE395.1379.811.8811.4 to 12.28.037.43 to 8.623.853.49 to 4.20
IT141.3130.04.814.80 to 4.822.602.50 to 2.702.212.01 to 2.41
LT108.578.53.413.31 to 3.511.611.47 to 1.741.801.59 to 2.00
LV114.775.03.583.49 to 3.662.322.22 to 2.401.261.05 to 1.46
NL238.3156.07.126.90 to 7.323.403.01 to 3.773.723.47 to 4.01
PL103.949.03.243.20 to 3.281.431.42 to 1.441.811.58 to 2.00
PT136.8175.04.434.42 to 4.433.683.36 to 3.990.750.529 to 0.964
RO109.098.13.733.70 to 3.753.153.13 to 3.160.580.274 to 0.891
SE149.6181.15.595.50 to 5.664.834.67 to 4.970.760.532 to 0.976
SI114.094.03.673.62 to 3.712.462.32 to 2.581.211.00 to 1.41
SK100.176.73.253.23 to 3.252.542.53 to 2.530.710.522 to 0.938
UK330.4248.610.1910.0 to 10.36.476.35 to 6.573.733.48 to 3.95
Mean167.8135.35.285.18 to 5.363.022.95 to 3.082.262.15 to 2.34
SD89.281.12.392.31 to 2.471.661.61 to 1.701.351.27 to 1.44
CV0.50.60.450.44 to 0.460.550.53 to 0.560.600.57 to 0.63
Median131.5107.94.434.20 to 4.542.542.43 to 2.642.091.90 to 2.20
IQR2.662.43 to 2.891.521.36 to 1.662.462.15 to 2.68
IQR to median0.600.55 to 0.660.600.52 to 0.651.171.02 to 1.32
  • Minimum excise tax FM cigarettes is expressed in € per 1000 FM cigarettes.

  • Minimum excise tax RYO tobacco is expressed in € per 1000 g of fine cut tobacco.

  • WAP FM cigarettes is expressed in € per 20 FM cigarettes.

  • WAP RYO tobacco is expressed in € per 20 sticks equivalent of fine cut tobacco (ie, 14 g).

  • AT (Austria), BE (Belgium), BG (Bulgaria), CZ (Czeck Republic), DE (Germany), DK (Denmark), EE (Estonia), EL (Greece), ES (Spain), FI (Finland), FR (France), HR (Croatia), HU (Hungary), IE (Ireland), IT (Italy), LT (Lithuania), LV (Latvia), NL (Netherlands), PL (Poland), PT (Portugal), RO (Romania), SE (Sweden), SI (Slovenia), SK (Slovakia), UK (United Kingdom)

  • CV, coefficient of variation; FM, factory-made; RYO, roll-your-own tobacco; WAP, weighted average price.