Table 1

Fixed effects models to estimate changes in cigarette prices after tax increases stratified by selected attributes

Tax 2020Tax 2021n
Coefficient β1Coefficient β2
All0.203***−0.0145988
Capsules
 Yes0.282***−0.0282231
 No0.156***−0.0043757
Flavour
 Full flavour0.166***−0.0413054
 Light0.246***0.091791
 Menthol0.232***−0.0152066
Market segment
 Premium0.277***0.0221550
 Medium0.204***−0.0211753
 Discount0.241***−0.078670
 Ultra-low0.157***−0.0031388
 Illicit0.061−0.020627
Cigarettes per pack
 140.181***0.0044315
 15–180.261**−0.029378
 200.271***−0.110**844
 24–250.246***0.018438
Manufacturer
 PMM0.285***0.0011995
 BAT0.198***−0.0472207
 JTI0.280***−0.005623
 Other0.0310.0191163
  • Own estimates based on data licensed from NielsenIQ. Each row corresponds to a model fitted separately; only the coefficients that denote the changes in prices after the tax adjustments are shown (Embedded Image, Embedded Image). All models include a linear trend, a dummy variable for 2018, and fixed effects by product. ***p<0.001, **p<0.01, *p<0.05. Due to few observations, unfiltered cigarettes and pack size<14 are excluded. n=observations.

  • BAT, British American Tobacco; JTI, Japan Tobacco International; PMM, Philip Morris Mexico.