Table 2

Changes in outcome variables in the overall economy due to a targeted reduction in consumption of bidis, cigarette and SLT by 10% by year 2026

Taxing tobacco consumptionTaxing raw tobacco
GDP change (%)−0.14−0.12
GDP change (millions USD)−4456.34−3738.41
Production change (%)−0.15−0.11
Production change (millions USD)−9132.20−6819.17
Change in consumption (%)−0.19−0.14
Change in consumption (million USD)−4437.87−3288.38
 Private consumption (%)−0.23−0.16
 Private consumption (million USD)−4533.78−3171.20
 Government consumption (%)−0.03−0.02
 Government consumption (million USD)−100.12−65.22
Export (% change)0.430.19
Exports change (millions USD)2293.971030.37
Import (% change)−0.21−0.16
Imports change (millions USD)−1309.93−1030.45
Employment (% change)−0.44−0.42
Employment change (million jobs)−2.07−1.97
Tax revenue (% change)0.790.61
Tax revenue (change in millions of USD)2773.822141.81
 Change in tax from tobacco sector3051.211770.09
 Change in tax from non-tobacco sector−277.38−371.72
  • GDP, gross domestic product ; SLT, smokeless tobacco.