Table 5

Impact on GDP over 5 years due to additional health gains from the policy shock

RowsOutcomes with alternative assumption on premature deaths from tobacco use
33% users dying prematurely50% users dying prematurely
Total change in GDP without assuming any lives saved (%)(A)−0.142−0.142
Deaths averted over the 5-year period (‘000)(B)3080.033696.04
Increase in labour force due to deaths averted (%)(C)0.7300.84
Gross increase in GDP after accounting for averted deaths (%)(D)0.3630.514
Net increase in GDP due to the policy shock after accounting for averted deaths (%)(A+D=E)0.2210.372
  • GDP, gross domestic product.